Jump to content



Photo

He Sees No Recovery Until 2010


  • Please log in to reply
5 replies to this topic

#1 redfoliage2

redfoliage2

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,897 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 04:10 PM

BALTIMORE (Reuters) - The chief executive of Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Tuesday that he expects no real recovery for the U.S. housing market before 2010.

"We are going to have a period where we move through the trough," Daniel Mudd, Fannie Mae's chief executive officer, told a meeting of business reporters.

This year "is going to be tough" and next year "will be similar," Mudd told the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.

"You will start to see some recovery in (2010)," he said.

http://www.reuters.c...933820820080429

#2 redfoliage2

redfoliage2

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,897 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 04:29 PM

I should have titled this post as "Who Said the Bottom Is in, III".

#3 arbman

arbman

    Quant

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,504 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 04:37 PM

:lol:

#4 CNSZ

CNSZ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 391 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 04:44 PM

Actually C just made the bottom after market close, unless someone decide they want to over take C to mark the bottom next month/quarter/year. but we it can not be worst then now, so let buy all the stocks. :)

#5 kc135a

kc135a

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 501 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 11:04 PM

BALTIMORE (Reuters) - The chief executive of Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Tuesday that he expects no real recovery for the U.S. housing market before 2010.

"We are going to have a period where we move through the trough," Daniel Mudd, Fannie Mae's chief executive officer, told a meeting of business reporters.

This year "is going to be tough" and next year "will be similar," Mudd told the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.

"You will start to see some recovery in (2010)," he said.

http://www.reuters.c...933820820080429


The markets and to some degree housing should rally Fall of this year into April - August 2009. After that, ...., no final bottom until the Fall of 2014. This mess is much worse than most assume but the band aids will be heavily placed until after the elections.

KC

#6 arbman

arbman

    Quant

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,504 posts

Posted 29 April 2008 - 11:54 PM

The year 2012 is my cyclical bottom prediction that I posted using much much longer cycles, it also coincides with the 2010-2011 option ARM resets. I doubt the jumbo rates will be able able to go much lower by then. In fact, I predict there will be a repeat of 80-82 style rally in rates with a dollar bottom shortly from here, the Treasuries will be in an imminent danger of collapsing significantly until the spring of 2009 from here as well since the housing will fail to recover and it will become more and more obvious as the months and quarters pass by...