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The Perfect ST Storm


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#1 VolPivots

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 07:22 AM

options expire this week with peak hurricane season just around the corner. fundys suck with ending storage levels gonna be way higher than last year, but greed always overrules in the near term. won't surprised to see $8.65 this week.

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http://www.nhc.noaa...._at2.shtml?5day

Edited by marketneutral, 26 August 2008 - 07:23 AM.


#2 VolPivots

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 07:31 AM

Looks like another 10min buying opp on ES for swing traders.....

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#3 johngeorge

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 10:17 AM

mn

Speaking of Nat Gas here's a chart I like. My thinking is Nat gas is going over $9, but, first stop is $8.34. Will know in the fulnessof time. At present I am long HGT and ROYL. Thanks for the charts and insightful comments you continue posting.

Best to you


http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$NATGAS&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&i=t05118401832&r=8040.png

Edited by johngeorge, 26 August 2008 - 10:17 AM.

Peace
johngeorge

#4 dasein

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 04:06 PM

COT commercials very long
best,
klh

#5 VolPivots

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 07:11 PM

COT commercials very long

dasein, i don't know how much, if anything, can be read into the NG COT report. For starters, unless it includes OTC swaps (primarily traded through ICE), you're missing a market that dwarfs the futures open interest. On top of that, the pros trade a lot of basis....e.g. long NYMEX /short SOCAL or some other location, so you're potentially missing the "other" side of the trade........

#6 StillLearnin

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Posted 26 August 2008 - 07:21 PM

Not to mention they have been very long during the whole decline. COT chart does not seem to work for NG if I am looking at it right...