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O Where O Where is the Bottom in the XAU


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#1 hedgehawk

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Posted 22 October 2008 - 07:14 PM

This sell off in XAU is awesome in momentum and strength. I heard some were watching for a bottom in the XAU to lead a bottom in equities. I must be missing something cuz I dont see how the XAU predicts anything at this point in time.



http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$XAU&p=M&st=1984-01-01&i=p70083262634&a=153667924&r=1044.png

#2 Rogerdodger

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Posted 22 October 2008 - 08:05 PM

There is a difference between descending a ladder and falling off a ladder.

It's called a crash.

I thought GDX had a pulse Monday with the 10+% rally.

The GOLD/XAU ratio is "off the chart"...again.
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD:$XAU&p=D&st=1980-01-01&i=p88841919976&a=150498056&r=8393.png

#3 tommyt

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Posted 22 October 2008 - 10:13 PM

I heard some were watching for a bottom in the XAU to lead a bottom in equities. I must be missing something cuz I dont see how the XAU predicts anything at this point in time. I think that all asset classes are being liquidated, no discrimination. Only in that sense I could see them all reaching a low at some point and bouncing together for that first reflex rally.

#4 SilentOne

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Posted 23 October 2008 - 10:09 AM

I heard some were watching for a bottom in the XAU to lead a bottom in equities. I must be missing something cuz I dont see how the XAU predicts anything at this point in time.


Yes, it is called liquidity and the $XAU is a great barometer. If the $XAU prints a bottom here, then I would be more bullish for an IT bear rally.

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain