Arch Crawford 12-26-08

CNBC interview

He's an interesting guy. Nice interview...Thx. selecto. U.F.O.

There is a chap on another board whose Bradleys are sometimes spot on. He has a low for late January and Arch, I see, has a high for then. Both like up into the summer. Its all mystical stuff, and I like to watch it - not for trading - but to see if I can be amazed from time to time.

This may be interesting.

U.F.O.

Bradley Siderograph



It has the following turning points:

12/14, 2008 (important)

1/20-21, 2009

2/8-9, 2009

6/3, 2009

6/26, 2009

7/14-15, 2009 (important)

9/14-15, 2009

10/22-23, 2009

11/9, 2009 (important)

Note that 12/14/08 does fall on a weekend.

This may be interesting.

U.F.O.

Bradley Siderograph



It has the following turning points:

12/14, 2008 (important)

1/20-21, 2009

2/8-9, 2009

6/3, 2009

6/26, 2009

7/14-15, 2009 (important)

9/14-15, 2009

10/22-23, 2009

11/9, 2009 (important)

Note that 12/14/08 does fall on a weekend.

that 850 level has proven so far to be quite important... as i see it. thanks for the chart. -TA

I agree TA. The 840-850 range has acted as a natural support zone since Oct. (1 chart)

U.F.O.

selecto: thanks for that link. i like arch and have talked to him several tiimes. in this interveiw he makes the strange mistake of assigning polarity to the bradley. this is signiificant, very significant, lol. in 2009, for instance, MY feb date is 2/9-2/10 (right in that bradlly window for two additional resons). but it is clearly blinking as a HIGH, and possibly a double top with 1/26/09.

selecto:

thanks for that link. i like arch and have talked to him several tiimes.

in this interveiw he makes the strange mistake of assigning polarity to the bradley. this is signiificant, very significant, lol. in 2009, for instance, MY feb date is 2/9-2/10 (right in that bradlly window for two additional resons). but it is clearly blinking as a HIGH, and possibly a double top with 1/26/09.

Hi Dan,
If your 2/9-2/10 date is a hi...would that mean a reverse going into the first half than what the Bradley shows now seeing they are suppose to be turning points not direction? I know you mentioned up into that period before..or am I mistaken??...then down into the fall.

Merriman's turning dates as I gave you which I"ll share here are below which is plus/minus 3 days surrounding these dates

..it appears with all the plus/minus 3 or 4 days including Bradley, most of the cycle guys exact turn dates here are in synch within the overlapping effects
..so it's good to know a period of reversal rather than exact dates when the market is going up or down into that period...if we are becoming oversold or overbought into that period..

.Merriman uses Bradley but also the hard and harmonious aspects which I have found breaks down Bradley better..Below he tells us to look for major trend reversals in the U.S. Stock market indices withing the following dates plus/ minus 3 days. If 2 non-sequential dates appear, it means it is probably a Friday and Monday, as the reversal date is over the weekend.

Jan 26 which could extend to Feb 3
Mar 6-9
Apr 24-27
May 14-18
May 27 or June 2 (May 26-June 8)
June 19-22
July 6
July 24 or July 31 (July 17-August 1)
Aug 14-17
Oct 7-9
Nov 13-16
Dec 18-21

In his forecast book he mentions we are looking to complete a 6 yr cycle low which could be completed but anytime before May 2009....once that low is in..he says to look for a 5-16 month rally to a top of a new 4 or 6 yr crest..however this rally is corrective in nature within a greater bear market...if that rally doesn't last more than 20 weeks...then the 4- 6 week low are still unfolding and another round of hysteria and panice will start...see, we are entering a period of where Jupiter-Neputne are in a conjunction (harmonious aspect)...however, like most of astrology there are always two sides...with this aspect...you can have expansion and a feeling of good times are coming back (complacency)...or you can have exaggeration in panic too...what you have going on at the same time is this tension of a hard aspect of Saturn to Uranus and Pluto...so which one wins out (harmonious or hard aspects) is yet to see..i noticed that the Uranus-Saturn hard aspect on Nov 4th...it's effects really started in July...so it's strong a influence...and the important thing to remember going forward is Uranus surprises!..and cash preservation is the most important thing rather than profits because we will get some great opportunities for a lower low (Merriman's range is 1420-7000 on the dow before it's all over with)...He says if we get past 13k on the dow..then the greater bear is over....he feels that the low will not be completed before 2010..and the ideal absolute end to this current bear market is 2011-2016...however, there is usually a secondary low a few years later..

Below is a good read from Merriman in his weekly column for long and short term..

http://www.stariq.com/MarketWeek.HTM


The week will end with Saturn turning retrograde on December 31. When a planet turns retrograde, its principles are highlighted considerably in terms of human activity. Saturn is cold, in terms of weather. That is why the Mars-Pluto conjunction during the same week could coincide with severe cold temperatures, avalanches, and other acts of nature posing a threat to human life. In terms of financial markets, our rule is to look for any market that is declining into this retrograde of Saturn, give or take two trading days, for Saturn’s nature is to depress and push down. Once it is over, conditions rebound. That is, if prices have been depressed going into a Saturn stationary period, look for them to rally immediately afterwards. This could be the case with stocks, which have been trending more down than up in the past 10 days.

This may be interesting.

U.F.O.

Bradley Siderograph



It has the following turning points:

12/14, 2008 (important)

1/20-21, 2009

2/8-9, 2009

6/3, 2009

6/26, 2009

7/14-15, 2009 (important)

9/14-15, 2009

10/22-23, 2009

11/9, 2009 (important)

Note that 12/14/08 does fall on a weekend.

Don't you think giving props to the Bradley is a bit of a stretch? The low was Nov 20. Anybody who "waited for the 12/14 Bradley" was basically left in the dust.

No HoseB. Np props given at all. I don't believe in Bradley turn dates. Merely showing where one falls on the chart. U.F.O.