92 replies to this topic

[stocks]

The inflation stored in stocks will flow into the commodity markets.
Commodity prices then explode, followed by a deflationary collapse

This is the scenario I am keeping my eye on for 2014, similar to 2008 except more serious:

http://3.bp.blogspot...08 scenario.png



http://www.smartmone...014-beTins.html

[stocks]

Dead Souls In the Republican Leadership - "America cannot become the world and still be America."

Some GOP pols have taken the side of big business and illegal immigrants over the interests of our nation.
"In a variety of ways, the American establishment, governmental and private, has become increasingly divorced from the American people,"

The American majority is concerned with "societal security," meaning sustaining "existing patterns of language, culture, association, religion and national identity."
Elites, however, placed societal security behind "supporting international trade and migration" and "encouraging minority identities and cultures at home."

To the likes of Cantor and Boehner, the border is noting but an obstacle to their ambitions as members of an elite class


http://www.americant...leadership.html

[stocks]

About every 80 years the existing ruling class is overthrown.

Today's liberal ruling class won't be around in year 2020.

1780 Revolutionary War

1865 Civil War

1945 WW!!

2020 Political Correctness gone

[stocks]

About every 80 years the existing ruling class is overthrown.

Today's liberal ruling class won't be around in year 2020.

1780 Revolutionary War

1865 Civil War

1945 WWII

2020 Political Correctness gone

The Rising Global Unrest – Collapse in Marxism & Republics

Martin Armstrong

For months now, protesters have been gathering in many capital cities of developing nations such as Turkey, Ukraine, Thailand, Venezuela, Malaysia, and Cambodia, among others. These demonstrations are part of the rise in tension that our
model warns will spread. This is the collapse of “socialism” as I put it for there is a declining living standard and much lower economic growth because of the rising cost of government. The “socialist” ideas of helping people are just propaganda.
Politicians have been lining their pockets all over the place and corruption has emerged in a new institutional form..



http://armstrongecon...xism-republics/

[stocks]

About every 80 years the existing ruling class is overthrown.

Today's liberal ruling class won't be around in year 2020.

1780 Revolutionary War

1865 Civil War

1945 WWII

2020 Political Correctness gone

The Rising Global Unrest – Collapse in Marxism & Republics

Martin Armstrong

For months now, protesters have been gathering in many capital cities of developing nations such as Turkey, Ukraine, Thailand, Venezuela, Malaysia, and Cambodia, among others. These demonstrations are part of the rise in tension that our
model warns will spread. This is the collapse of “socialism” as I put it for there is a declining living standard and much lower economic growth because of the rising cost of government. The “socialist” ideas of helping people are just propaganda.
Politicians have been lining their pockets all over the place and corruption has emerged in a new institutional form..



http://armstrongecon...xism-republics/

Is It Over, and We Just Don’t Know It? - Have we lost our Founders' government?

There’s little doubt that the United States of America has reached a point where, relatively unhampered by legislative or judicial barriers, its president and his bureaucracy exceed the limits of the nation’s Constitution “as a matter of course.”
They in turn are quietly but effectively under the control of our “independent” central bank.

Decades from now, it’s possible that historians will look back and conclude that the American experiment, which began with its declaration of independence from and defeat of Great Britain, ended sometime between 1999 and 2014.
As with Rome, the pivotal event isn’t obvious, and the list which follows isn’t all-inclusive.

The failure by the U.S. Senate to convict Bill Clinton after his impeachment by the House was the first signal that the rule of law might not matter any more. These days, the law seems to be whatever Barack Obama and Eric Holder want it to be.

President George W. Bush’s formation of the mammoth Homeland Security Department and mission creep at the National Security Agency after the 9/11 terrorist attacks consolidated awesome and disturbing powers in very few hands. Now both
outfits are out-of-control monsters.


http://pjmedia.com/b...singlepage=true

[stocks]

Favorite Quotes

May you have your heart's desire.
- ancient Chinese curse

The extreme of any position will ultimately become it's opposite.
- Epictetus

Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked.
- Warren Buffett

as Haitian peasants say, “Behind mountains, more mountains.”

We can’t live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.
- Daniel Kahneman

If you don't know who sucker at the table is, it's you.

It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance.
- Thomas Sowell

Socialism is the religion people get when they lose their religion.
- Richard Neuhaus

Everyone thinks of changing the world, but no one thinks of changing himself.
- Tolstoy

Utopias of equality are biologically doomed. Superior ability will have its way.
- Will Durant

Nothing is clearer in history than the adoption by successful rebels of the methods they were accustomed to condemn in the forces they deposed
- Will Durant

[stocks]

Interesting Commentary Found:

Sure - China, Russia and Iran will begin throwing their weight around in earnest.

We're in horrible trouble as a nation. I very much doubt we'll survive intact.

No one seems to get why the Ukraine Crisis matters, why a Russian invasion of the Crimea represents a turning-point in American decline. But decades hence historians might point to today as the moment when everything changed.

The Fallout.

American allies, having discovered the value of American promises, will begin to look around for a new set of friends. Say what you want about the Chinese, but they have great food and they want our oil. As well, they seem to stick by their friends.

That leaves one question. What’s in it for Obama and the American left? One might have thought that the stain of a national humiliation would pain even them. But they have bigger issues, and they’re not about foreign policy. Rather, if America is to become the social democratic state they want, they’ll need to shrink the military to pay for it. They’ve already begun to do so, but expect much more radical cuts in the future. And they’ll bring some conservatives along with them. Not just the American-Firsters for whom isolationism is a default position, but economic conservatives who are about to start asking why the U.S. spends 41 percent of the world’s military spending on a military that’s not going to do anything.


http://spectator.org...ar-away-country

[stocks]

Interesting Commentary Found:

Sure - China, Russia and Iran will begin throwing their weight around in earnest.

We're in horrible trouble as a nation. I very much doubt we'll survive intact.

No one seems to get why the Ukraine Crisis matters, why a Russian invasion of the Crimea represents a turning-point in American decline. But decades hence historians might point to today as the moment when everything changed.

The Fallout.

American allies, having discovered the value of American promises, will begin to look around for a new set of friends. Say what you want about the Chinese, but they have great food and they want our oil. As well, they seem to stick by their friends.

That leaves one question. What’s in it for Obama and the American left? One might have thought that the stain of a national humiliation would pain even them. But they have bigger issues, and they’re not about foreign policy. Rather, if America is to become the social democratic state they want, they’ll need to shrink the military to pay for it. They’ve already begun to do so, but expect much more radical cuts in the future. And they’ll bring some conservatives along with them. Not just the American-Firsters for whom isolationism is a default position, but economic conservatives who are about to start asking why the U.S. spends 41 percent of the world’s military spending on a military that’s not going to do anything.


http://spectator.org...ar-away-country

The capitals of Europe have gone from complacency to a near panic in the last 72 hours, not simply over the crisis in the Ukraine but in the growing awareness that for at least the last half decade they’ve been standing on a trapdoor.

It’s almost too sad to watch. As the Washington Post editorial board just headlined, “President Obama’s foreign policy is based on fantasy”. And that’s a verbatim quote.

The arms control agreements with Moscow; the “deal” with Syria; Obama’s negotiations to disarm Iran of nuclear weapons; the Russian-controlled northern distribution network through which NATO forces in Afghanistan are supplied — every one of
these — once counted as glittering achievements, the crown jewels of the administration, now reappears in a new and sinister light.

When JFK looked weak to Nikita Khrushchev, we got the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1963. When Jimmy Carter bear-hugged Brezhnev, we got the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. When Bill Clinton failed to stop Bin Laden for seven whole years, we got 9/11/01 in New York City.

And when Obama clowned it up for the world, alienating our allies and bowing down to our deadly enemies, we got this week’s Russian invasion of the Ukraine.

And that’s only the beginning. Just you watch.



http://pjmedia.com/r...alking-into-it/

[stocks]

Interesting Commentary Found:

Sure - China, Russia and Iran will begin throwing their weight around in earnest.

We're in horrible trouble as a nation. I very much doubt we'll survive intact.

No one seems to get why the Ukraine Crisis matters, why a Russian invasion of the Crimea represents a turning-point in American decline. But decades hence historians might point to today as the moment when everything changed.

The Fallout.

American allies, having discovered the value of American promises, will begin to look around for a new set of friends. Say what you want about the Chinese, but they have great food and they want our oil. As well, they seem to stick by their friends.

That leaves one question. What’s in it for Obama and the American left? One might have thought that the stain of a national humiliation would pain even them. But they have bigger issues, and they’re not about foreign policy. Rather, if America is to become the social democratic state they want, they’ll need to shrink the military to pay for it. They’ve already begun to do so, but expect much more radical cuts in the future. And they’ll bring some conservatives along with them. Not just the American-Firsters for whom isolationism is a default position, but economic conservatives who are about to start asking why the U.S. spends 41 percent of the world’s military spending on a military that’s not going to do anything.


http://spectator.org...ar-away-country

The capitals of Europe have gone from complacency to a near panic in the last 72 hours, not simply over the crisis in the Ukraine but in the growing awareness that for at least the last half decade they’ve been standing on a trapdoor.

It’s almost too sad to watch. As the Washington Post editorial board just headlined, “President Obama’s foreign policy is based on fantasy”. And that’s a verbatim quote.

The arms control agreements with Moscow; the “deal” with Syria; Obama’s negotiations to disarm Iran of nuclear weapons; the Russian-controlled northern distribution network through which NATO forces in Afghanistan are supplied — every one of
these — once counted as glittering achievements, the crown jewels of the administration, now reappears in a new and sinister light.

When JFK looked weak to Nikita Khrushchev, we got the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1963. When Jimmy Carter bear-hugged Brezhnev, we got the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. When Bill Clinton failed to stop Bin Laden for seven whole years, we got 9/11/01 in New York City.

And when Obama clowned it up for the world, alienating our allies and bowing down to our deadly enemies, we got this week’s Russian invasion of the Ukraine.

And that’s only the beginning. Just you watch.



http://pjmedia.com/r...alking-into-it/

It's Neville Chamberlain all over again.

John Kerry is baffled by the concept of one country invading another

“You just don’t in the 21st century behave in 19th century fashion by invading another country on completely trumped up pretext,” a baffled Secretary of State John Kerry said, as if Putin had decided to bring back monocles and pork pie hats.

But nevertheless Putin dug through his closet, stuck in his monocle and decided that you actually can invade other countries even though it’s 2014.

Lieutenant John Kerry, still baffled by the concept of one country invading another, also called it “an incredible act of aggression” and “a stunning, willful choice by President Putin.”

“Russia is in violation of its international obligations,” he bleated. Despite presenting a ceremonial potato to the Russian Foreign Minister, Kerry didn’t seem to understand that Russia cares about its international obligations almost as much as his boss cares about the United States Constitution.

This strange claim that invading other countries went out of style in the 19th century is belied by two world wars, countless smaller conflicts, including the Korean War and the Gulf War, and a few wars in the 21st century, but those facts don’t penetrate the progressive worldview.


http://www.frontpage...s-putins-world/

[stocks]

I agree with Glenn Neely.

Recently, Mr. Neely wrote to all NEoWave Equity Fund investors informing them that (unlike the last 5 years) the U.S. stock market will soon enter a rare, high-predictability trading environment.

Why is that important?

In late 2007/early 2008, when everyone was buying U.S. real estate and stocks, Mr. Neely warned the U.S. market was topping and on the verge of a massive, 1-2 year decline. Brave investors who followed his advice were extremely well rewarded. For the first time in 7 years, Mr. Neely is again warning a similar, dangerous environment is forming.

Currently, wave structure warns a potentially serious market decline could be just months away. If accurate, it is vital prudent investors take the steps necessary to protect their investments.

Late in the last decade, the NEoWave Trading services provided 70%+ (2008) and 50%+ (2009) gains during previous, high-predictability periods.


http://www.neowave.com/