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Not THE Top ....a pull-back then final leg up


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#11 dTraderB

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Posted 01 May 2019 - 09:57 PM

Finally, this laptop WINDOWS update is done, hope it does not fail again during real-time cash session.

 

 

Some informative stuff here from Sentiment Trader

The S&P hit new highs for 3 straight days, with a negative McClellan Oscillator each day. That triggered in October ’17, with no problem, but prior to that was an issue over the next 30 days.

https://www.sentimen...ring-financials



#12 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 06:25 AM

Amazing interpretationS of FED statement & comments:

BLOOMBERG:

 

Markets Have Misread the Fed

Investors should have known that the central bank sees no pressing need to cut rates to spark faster inflation. Also, meet the “Fang 6.”

https://www.bloomber...he-fed-jv64h3f4

 

 

Powell Snatches Defeat From the Jaws of Victory

Frustrating Fed speak leads market commentary. Plus, the dilemma of the dollar, a Saudi surge and more.

https://www.bloomber...jaws-of-victory

 

https://www.investin...rally-200414791



#13 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 06:38 AM

Douglas KassVerified account @DougKass
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* "Jazzy" Jeff Hirsch issues a sell on the S&P (Stock Trader's Almanac) * An odd market stat

Christopher Brecher @chrisbrecher
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"Melt up" talk almost always happens at tops, not bottoms.

4:13 AM - 2 May 2019

 



#14 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 06:40 AM

Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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AAII Allocation is interesting.

Stocks: 67.8% (highest since Oct when it was 69.5)

Cash: 15.1% (lowest in a year, was 14.7 in March '18)

Historical averages: Stocks: 61% Cash: 23%

AAII bulls +5.5 this week but still hovering at 40% level. bears were +1.1 to 21.3%. The 4 week ma of bears shown

D5jrmsbXkAAznpB.png
4:09 AM - 2 May 2019

 



#15 K Wave

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 08:36 AM

just waiting for the big 3 to reverse...AAPL yesterday may have been all she wrote.

 

IF MSFT, AMZN and AAPL now all break their pre-earning pivots, then bears likely got the ball for a while.

 

NYA looks like it may just about to lose a massive multi-week battle for 13K level


Edited by K Wave, 02 May 2019 - 08:36 AM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#16 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 09:13 AM

The critical issue: can  SPX  close above yesterday's close?

 

If it does then reversal pattern is NOT in place and rally continues.  



#17 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 10:39 AM

more selling today

 

high trin, again

 

SPX 2923/25 important resistance

 

lows last week in SPX also important



#18 K Wave

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 10:40 AM

there's 18 handle on AMZN...now we see if it really wants to roll over with a nice breakout/fakeout to mark the big swing top


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#19 dTraderB

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Posted 02 May 2019 - 01:52 PM

Market in the most vulnerable state since.... a long time

 

 

Can the bulls pull out an Houdini act to hold SPX 2900 today?

 

If they do then the rally lives....