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What Scary Thing Do Bond Traders Know? Topping in progress....


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#11 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 07:17 AM

Towards the Giant Three: The Rise and Rise of the Big Three Index Funds

https://promarket.or...ee-index-funds/



#12 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 07:22 AM

Busy day, should be, or another dull & boring one? 
 

Key Events

The Bank of England's Mark Carney speaks at 8 a.m. ET.

U.S. retail sales for June are expected to rise 0.1% from a month earlier. The figures are out at 8:30 a.m.

U.S. import prices for June, also out at 8:30 a.m., are expected to fall 0.8% from a month earlier.

U.S. industrial production for June is expected to rise 0.2% from a month earlier. The data are scheduled for 9:15 a.m.

U.S. business inventories for May, slated for 10 a.m., are expected to rise 0.3% from a month earlier.

The National Association of Home Builders index is expected to be unchanged from a month earlier. It is also out at 10 a.m. 

Fed speakers: Governor Michelle Bowman and Atlanta’s Raphael Bostic speak at a Fed Listens event at 8:15 a.m., Dallas’s Robert Kaplanspeaks at a National Association for Business Economics’ seminar at 12:20 p.m., Chairman Jerome Powell speaks on monetary policy at a G-7 meeting in Paris at 1 p.m., and Chicago's Charles Evans speaks on the economy and monetary policy at 2:35 p.m.



#13 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 07:23 AM

Maybe too many bears still out there? 

 

https://global-macro...td-bund-dearth/



#14 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 09:04 AM

This can be fun, normal trash talk, jousting, all part of the negotiation process,  but it does have serious implications:

 

 @HuXijin_GT
FollowFollow @HuXijin_GT
More

Hu Xijin 胡锡进 Retweeted Donald J. Trump

1. Is it noble for a president to gloat?

2. 6.2% is much higher than US growth. Wait until US growth hits 6.2% then laugh at China.

3. Chinese economic growth slows down because of restructuring. The credit doesn’t go to the White House. 1f600.png

Hu Xijin 胡锡进 added,

Donald J. TrumpVerified account @realDonaldTrump
China’s 2nd Quarter growth is the slowest it has been in more than 27 years. The United States Tariffs are having a major effect on companies wanting to leave China for non-tariffed countries. Thousands of companies are leaving. This is why China wants to make a deal....
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6:43 AM - 15 Jul 2019


#15 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 09:08 AM

added another 1/2 position to existing VXX long @ 22.41; now holding a full position; will add more if lower levels are reached; stop loss below 20, flexible, trying to track it with a soft stop loss order.

 

still stalled with QQQ OCT PUTS, only 12 so far but I am monitoring the VXN as it drops and keep dropping... hopefully, for the next day or two.

 

 



#16 fib_1618

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 09:11 AM

...prompting some to wonder what bond traders know?

 

As this A/D line moves higher, the yields on the 10 year note trends lower (through Friday).

 

Fib

 

breadthtnx071219.png


Edited by fib_1618, 16 July 2019 - 09:41 AM.

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

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#17 dTraderB

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 02:58 PM

Better day than dull Monday. The Trump swoon was followed by the Powell rally 

 

I like this TRADE WAR trading -- "bad" news at peaks and "good" news at bottoms

 

You got to wait, be patient, and then pounce



#18 LMF

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Posted 16 July 2019 - 07:21 PM

The trade war trash talk would go like this.....

First lets have trump and Xi immediately stop competing for the Best Actress award from the academy. Thats right.

Next and most important we have both side delete ALL of the government spending from the GDP calculation. Roll out the math for kindergarteners to make that happen. Ive never seen better pansies than these guys......big time pansies on the stage.