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No FED help, as yet - SPX 2700 handle soon, then rally


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#21 ryanoo

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 10:12 AM

"In the 12 months ended March 31, S&P 500 firms spent 103.8% of their free cash flow on buybacks & dividends, which comes after spending 101.9% in 4Q18. It is the 1st time since before the financial crisis that S&P 500 payouts have exceeded cash earned"

https://twitter.com/...710190242254848



#22 redfoliage2

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 11:08 AM

The market has stopped bleeding today though not much a bounce yet.   As long as SPX is able to hold the ST support around 2840,  I'd expect a stronger bounce in the next few days.................


Edited by redfoliage2, 15 August 2019 - 11:15 AM.


#23 dTraderB

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 11:43 AM

C'mon Bloomberg, do not be so harsh on the President!

 

13 hours ago - China has already endured plenty of economic pain, and isn’t as desperate for a trade deal as the U.S. may think. ... An inverted yield curve has preceded the last seven recessions in the U.S. ... Abandoning his hawkish trade rhetoric, Trump extended an olive branch to Chinese President Xi


#24 dTraderB

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 11:59 AM

The market has stopped bleeding today though not much a bounce yet.   As long as SPX is able to hold the ST support around 2840,  I'd expect a stronger bounce in the next few days.................

 

TRIN extreme levels this week but I still think it will go down to test previous recent lows and then move up

 

I would not be surprised if FED intervenes - even dovish statements, QE - with the cut at the Sep meeting, and the market makes new SPX highs, setting up into the October decline that can last for months



#25 dTraderB

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 12:01 PM

"In the 12 months ended March 31, S&P 500 firms spent 103.8% of their free cash flow on buybacks & dividends, which comes after spending 101.9% in 4Q18. It is the 1st time since before the financial crisis that S&P 500 payouts have exceeded cash earned"

https://twitter.com/...710190242254848

 

That corporate debt has risen rapidly; also this:
 

Aug 7, 2019 - Amount of global debt with negative yields balloons to $15 trillion ... Central banks often lower interest rates to grow the money supply in the ...


#26 redfoliage2

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 12:41 PM

Be ware of a big gap up tonight...........


Edited by redfoliage2, 15 August 2019 - 12:44 PM.


#27 dTraderB

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Posted 15 August 2019 - 01:14 PM

Be ware of a big gap up tonight...........

 

...and a sharp rally that will be sold but it could first get above recent SPX highs