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New SPX highs in September? Do not fight the FED....


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#11 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 06:14 AM

I will buy VXX below 24

David Larew @ThinkTankCharts
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VIX - touched the Bollinger Band - generally a reversal signal - but still on a Buy signal - bad for stocks generally, until it gets below the 50 DMA.

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1:16 AM - 16 Aug 2019


#12 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 06:15 AM

David Larew @ThinkTankCharts
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Breadth Oscillator for the S&P 500 - no positive divergence here. The buy signal is when the RSI is above 30. It is at 12.89.

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1:13 AM - 16 Aug 2019


#13 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 06:17 AM

What changed my forecast? the ease with which the President changed his tariff narrative and how this can also be done for the entire trade war - that is, do a deal with minor concessions, and kick that can down the road until after Nov 2020. 

 

But, still, the markets will price all that and the go down

 

David Larew @ThinkTankCharts
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S&P 500 - Hold Short is the signal under 2880, tradable markets above - Hold Long over 2900. Positive RSI Divergence negates things today. 2775 to 2880 watch today.

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1:11 AM - 16 Aug 2019


#14 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 06:18 AM

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Put Call - still extremely Bearish - major support area is 2800 SPX,. When it breaks that point a major sell signal will be in place. Until then we are one China tweet away from a UP move.

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1:03 AM - 16 Aug 2019


#15 redfoliage2

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 07:44 AM

I warned yesterday that a big gap-up for today.  The "market" will try anything possible to make sure that your puts/calls (this time it's puts) expire worthless................



#16 12SPX

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 08:25 AM

Hope you have a great holiday d, gonna miss your great updates!!  Agree with you on the market btw, this volatility has been great for trading!!  



#17 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 07:10 PM

Hope you have a great holiday d, gonna miss your great updates!!  Agree with you on the market btw, this volatility has been great for trading!!  

Thanks, it was a great week, back at end of August.



#18 dTraderB

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Posted 16 August 2019 - 07:11 PM

I warned yesterday that a big gap-up for today.  The "market" will try anything possible to make sure that your puts/calls (this time it's puts) expire worthless................

 

Great call, more upside but not in a striaght line, pullbacks, even sharp ones but it will be generally up into September FED meeting