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#1 Dex

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Posted 19 October 2019 - 06:28 PM

A crash is more likely then new highs!

The market is moving based upon the news and there is more negative then positive that could happen.

1 brexit troubles

2 China deal does not happen

3 us tariffs on European goods and Europe retaliates

4 Trump impeachment gain traction

5 earnings disappoint

6 North Korea, Iran/oil, northern Syria

October is a risky month for stocks...
"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#2 da_cheif

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Posted 19 October 2019 - 07:52 PM

A crash is more likely then new highs!

The market is moving based upon the news and there is more negative then positive that could happen.

1 brexit troubles

2 China deal does not happen

3 us tariffs on European goods and Europe retaliates

4 Trump impeachment gain traction

5 earnings disappoint

6 North Korea, Iran/oil, northern Syria

October is a risky month for stocks...

u gotta bad habit....but thats good for the bulls.......lol



#3 opinionated

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Posted 19 October 2019 - 09:51 PM

swoon.gif 



#4 tradesurfer

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Posted 19 October 2019 - 09:51 PM

I have to agree.  Next 2 weeks basedon seasonal effect alone should be enough for at least some downside.

 

Looks like the same setup as the finaly mini rally into October 15th, 1929.

 

We had a series of indecision dojis in DIA SPY etc  and then a bearish engulfing on Friday to set the decline in motion.

 

The bearish shooting star in the DIA although based on a bad fat finger tick looks extremely bearish to me, one of the most bearish setups going into a forward week that I have ever seen.

 

 

48927293522_71a511cfa3_k.jpg



#5 pdx5

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Posted 19 October 2019 - 11:09 PM

A crash is more likely then new highs!

The market is moving based upon the news and there is more negative then positive that could happen.

1 brexit troubles--------------------------------------------UK is getting out one way or another

2 China deal does not happen--------------------------It is a trade WAR, only one can win in any war., it will be USA if Trump is president

3 us tariffs on European goods and Europe retaliates-----Only trade DEFICIT countries can retaliate effectively

4 Trump impeachment gain traction-------impeachment is not removal from office, removal needs 67 senators to go along, unlikely! But if Trump is removed, crash possibilities take a giant leap upwards.

5 earnings disappoint--------------------------neutral at this point

6 North Korea, Iran/oil, northern Syria-----they are all hurting economically, economic weaklings are powerless to cause serious problems. At best they can be flash in the pan.

October is a risky month for stocks...........This is the main risk for a downslide


Edited by pdx5, 19 October 2019 - 11:13 PM.

"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule

#6 Dex

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Posted 20 October 2019 - 12:13 PM

1.
https://www.google.c...litics-48519746

2.
https://www.dw.com/e...oods/a-50880622

3. China is trying to outwaited Trump. They see that all his new trade deals are being stopped by dems

4
Like Nixon, if the people get behind it, anything can happen.




A crash is more likely then new highs!

The market is moving based upon the news and there is more negative then positive that could happen.

1 brexit troubles--------------------------------------------UK is getting out one way or another

2 China deal does not happen--------------------------It is a trade WAR, only one can win in any war., it will be USA if Trump is president

3 us tariffs on European goods and Europe retaliates-----Only trade DEFICIT countries can retaliate effectively

4 Trump impeachment gain traction-------impeachment is not removal from office, removal needs 67 senators to go along, unlikely! But if Trump is removed, crash possibilities take a giant leap upwards.

5 earnings disappoint--------------------------neutral at this point

6 North Korea, Iran/oil, northern Syria-----they are all hurting economically, economic weaklings are powerless to cause serious problems. At best they can be flash in the pan.

October is a risky month for stocks...........This is the main risk for a downslide


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
17_16


#7 Dex

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Posted 20 October 2019 - 12:14 PM

On my phone ... Sorry for how the above got posted.
"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
17_16


#8 Dex

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Posted 20 October 2019 - 12:18 PM

https://www.reuters....t-idUSKCN1VU1L8

Link 2 s/b
https://www.reuters....t-idUSKCN1VU1L8
"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
17_16


#9 pdx5

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Posted 20 October 2019 - 01:44 PM

On my phone ... Sorry for how the above got posted.

Never a problem :) 

I can read minds haha


"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule

#10 trioderob

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Posted 20 October 2019 - 01:58 PM

if we are going to talk about the funnymentals - this could over ride all the other news and worries 

 

https://www.bloomber...ys?srnd=premium