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Euphoria, euphoric rally - China plays the stall card to extract more


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#1 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:34 AM

The fun, fear, and excitement  - and risk - of NQ 12-lot trading in pre-cash session. 

 

"Euphoria" seems to be a popular word this morning.

 

And, a few are calling for pullback etc

 

This will be a big week leading into the holiday next week.  

 

Eunice YoonVerified account @onlyyoontv
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Mood in Beijing about #trade deal is pessimistic, government source tells me. #China troubled after Trump said no tariff rollback. (China thought both had agreed in principle.) Strategy now to talk but wait due to impeachment, US election. Also prioritize China economic support.

5:18 AM - 18 Nov 2019

 



#2 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:36 AM

Market has a great sens of timing - wait until they are all in and then pull the rug!

 

Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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Helene Meisler Retweeted Carl Quintanilla

Mike Wilson

Helene Meisler added,

Carl QuintanillaVerified account @carlquintanilla
MORGAN STANLEY: gives in a bit, raises its Dec 2020 base forecast to 3000, from 2750, and adds: "As the Fed continues expanding its balance sheet by $60B/mo, the S&P 500 could overshoot the upper end of our year-end bull case of 3250." (Wilson)
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4:47 AM - 18 Nov 2019

 



#3 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:37 AM

PUT BUYERS banished to Antarctica

 

Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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10 dma of equity put/call ratio with S&P

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9:03 AM - 16 Nov 2019


#4 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:38 AM

Would not say this is extreme divergence but breadth seems to be getting more putrid, lately

 

Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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10 dma NYSE common stocks only new highs

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8:46 AM - 16 Nov 2019 
    1. 10 dma NYSE common stocks only new lows

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Edited by dTraderB, 18 November 2019 - 08:40 AM.


#5 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:39 AM

Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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10 dma NYSE new highs

EJgjHPYWsAIiauS.png
8:43 AM - 16 Nov 2019


#6 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:42 AM

Douglas KassVerified account @DougKass
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Douglas Kass Retweeted James DePorre

Two points: * If you carefully read the report, $MS is calling for better global economic growth and a declining rate of growth in the US economy. * The brokerage puts itself in a typical position of heads they win, tails they win - as their strategist is negative.

Douglas Kass added,

James DePorre @RevShark
This is going to upset some bears: Morgan Stanley says global growth should recover in 2020 as trade tensions and monetary policy ease …
4:36 AM - 18 Nov 2019


#7 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:44 AM

Monday morning VIX recovery after pre-weekend decay

VIX now up 7%

 

Charlie BilelloVerified account @charliebilello
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Volatility Index: lowest close since October 3, 2018. 11.94. $VIX

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1:33 PM - 15 Nov 2019


#8 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:46 AM

Charlie BilelloVerified account @charliebilello
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Stock market guide to analyzing Fed policy... 0% rates = bullish QE 1, 2, 3 = bullish Twist = bullish Taper = bullish No QE = bullish Rate Hikes = bullish Balance Sheet Reduction = bullish Rate Cuts = bullish Balance Sheet Expansion ("not QE") = bullish Rate Pause = bullish



#9 K Wave

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:49 AM

Those folks that bought the futures pre-market likely going to have big regrets by end of today....

 

That ramp to get to 28K at the end on Friday was about as phony as they come...


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#10 dTraderB

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Posted 18 November 2019 - 08:49 AM

Simple MA

 

Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc
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My latest Chart In Focus article, "EMA or SMA: Which is Better?", is posted at https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/ema_or_sma_which_is_better/ .

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7:32 PM - 15 Nov 2019