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VIX up 18% triggers Daily BUY


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#1 dTraderB

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Posted 09 December 2019 - 04:19 PM

Fixated on VIX and VXX all day as VOLATILITY reversed. 

 

Closed 3 VXX LONGS, reluctantly but I had to. 

 

Good day for NQ long & Short daytrades

 

There seems to be more caution - hedging, liquidation END OF YEAR/QUARTER/MONTH - in the markets as December 15 tariff deadline approaches and a week filled with important news before the thin holiday trading period. 

 

 

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September’s Repo Mess Reflects Structural Problems, Global Regulators Say

 



#2 dTraderB

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Posted 09 December 2019 - 04:22 PM

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Positive equity inflows are positive because they confirm retail investors believe the bullish narrative Negative equity inflows are also positive because they will turn positive in the future

1:15 PM - 9 Dec 2019


#3 dTraderB

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Posted 09 December 2019 - 04:23 PM

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"Equity vol has rarely been lower thanks to the Fed" - Morgan Stanley

1:08 PM - 9 Dec 2019


#4 dTraderB

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Posted 09 December 2019 - 04:27 PM

This may explain VIX ramp up today

 

Investors are terrified of something a year from now and they’re placing bets to hedge themselves
PUBLISHED MON, DEC 9 20193:43 PM EST UPDATED 13 MIN AGO
KEY POINTS
  • Investors are hedging around the possibility of a very negative event a year from now, and it could be they are worried about an “election apocalypse,” according to BTIG strategist Julian Emanuel.
  • He said investors are putting a premium on S&P 500 puts a year out, versus calls, and the skew is at a historical level. 
  • Emanuel says there appears to be “unprecedented apprehension” on the part of investors, and “the left, the right and the center are all worried about highly unstable electoral outcomes.”

https://www.cnbc.com...themselves.html



#5 robo

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Posted 09 December 2019 - 07:21 PM

"Closed 3 VXX LONGS, reluctantly but I had to."  I did the same thing....  I will be buying them back.... A single tweet can wipe out all of your gains. 

 

Watching the weekly data closely..... Sideways to down is my guess.... Day 32 of my warning data that caused me to go flat.... a record for now.... Above average odds we BT the 50 WMA, and then we shall see how it plays out..... I said above average odds, I didn't say for sure. However, I trade the odds....

 

I always read your posts... Thanks for posting.... I track SPY and IWM, but trade VXF..... You can trade VXX at Vanguard, but no shorting..... I remain flat at Vanguard, but trading both ways in my trading accounts....  I never mix the two... Vanguard is our LT retirement account....

 

Good Trading!

 

 

My weekly data

https://stockcharts....103&a=704685794


Edited by robo, 09 December 2019 - 07:27 PM.

“There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side”   Jesse L. Livermore


#6 dTraderB

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Posted 10 December 2019 - 06:30 AM

another swoosh down, that's why I am up early, only an 8-lot NQ trade

 

David Larew @ThinkTankCharts
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Financials - Fed meeting won't be raising rates and this is what the Banks need - generally a sell signal with touch of the Keltner Channel on Friday. A move under 30 would be a near term sell signal - Most of the indexes appear to be failing here.

ELamdkoWkAAUQh4.png
1:32 AM - 10 Dec 2019

 



#7 dTraderB

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Posted 10 December 2019 - 06:54 AM

McClellanOsc_686.gif



#8 dTraderB

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Posted 10 December 2019 - 06:55 AM

See this:

 

https://www.marketin...summation-index

 

and other charts in that page 



#9 tradesurfer

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Posted 10 December 2019 - 07:25 AM

the charts here look like beginnings of major waterfalls down!

 

See this:

 

https://www.marketin...summation-index

 

and other charts in that page 



#10 dTraderB

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Posted 10 December 2019 - 09:15 AM

That's why I trade the pre-cash session market!
 

David Larew @ThinkTankCharts
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China Deal and up futures go.... Good grief, a 10 point down move in the S&P 500 and out comes Willllllbrrrr Ross. :) What will happen tomorrow when the Fed say no mo. LOL

ELbjMkmXYAETwHx.png
5:57 AM - 10 Dec 2019