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Posted 25 June 2020 - 02:48 PM
5000 new cases in Calif. today-----all news is bad now
So one more step closer to the herd immunity .................................
BTW, it looks the Russell re-balance induced selling may be about over as bears started covering in the afternoon.
Edited by redfoliage2, 25 June 2020 - 02:58 PM.
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 03:00 PM
Got 10 times death rate for the pandemic with a sample that had only 41 patients? It's a joke. Not sound statistics. Go to this site you will find the needed data with huge sample sizes to calculate the death rate that is not much higher the that from the flu .................
Really? Not much higher than the flu. Watch this graphic to the end. Focus on when covid starts killing people in Feb.
https://public.flour...4bBL0CgLmZBvhDc
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 03:13 PM
Got 10 times death rate for the pandemic with a sample that had only 41 patients? It's a joke. Not sound statistics. Go to this site you will find the needed data with huge sample sizes to calculate the death rate that is not much higher the that from the flu .................
Really? Not much higher than the flu. Watch this graphic to the end. Focus on when covid starts killing people in Feb.
https://public.flour...4bBL0CgLmZBvhDc
It's just fancy graphic and not true. Now you know why people getting panic: because of those fancy untrue rumors floating on the internet.
Here is the data about the flu from CDC:
"According to new estimates published today, between 291,000 and 646,000 people worldwide die from seasonal influenza-related respiratory illnesses each year, higher than a previous estimate of 250,000 to 500,000 and based on a robust, multinational survey.
The new estimate, from a collaborative study by CDC and global health partners, appears today in The Lancet. The estimate excludes deaths during pandemics."
https://www.cdc.gov/...h-estimate.html
Edited by redfoliage2, 25 June 2020 - 03:15 PM.
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 03:40 PM
Edited by risktaker, 25 June 2020 - 03:49 PM.
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 03:50 PM
Just look at the ratio of (new daily death #) / (new daily confirmed #) we should get an objective idea if the pandemic getting worse or not. You can have the new daily death # and the new daily confirmed # from this site:
https://www.worldome...rus/country/us/
Edited by redfoliage2, 25 June 2020 - 03:53 PM.
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 04:11 PM
no worse than flu, 2019 remember was all news and fear, same as 2020 virus????????????????????
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 04:11 PM
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 04:15 PM
CDC said today 6ft apart, face masks, wash hands is all that is needed.
true rate of infection could be 10 times reported
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 04:26 PM
https://www.reuters....s-idUSKBN23W2PU
If this is true then the death rate from COVID-19 is 10 times less than currently estimated, and then much lower than that from the flu.
Member
Posted 25 June 2020 - 06:20 PM
https://www.reuters....s-idUSKBN23W2PU
If this is true then the death rate from COVID-19 is 10 times less than currently estimated, and then much lower than that from the flu.
Also a huge progress toward the herd immunity.......
Huge progress to herd immunity?
Assuming the number infected is 10x higher, it still means that about 14% of the population of the US has been infected. Herd immunity is achieved at approximately 60% (some cite 70%) so we need 46% more to be infected if we assume 60% is sufficient.
This means we would add three times more of additional deaths to to those who have already died (484,000). Approx.1,500,000 more would die -- approx 2,000,000 total. (not considering those left with disabling health conditions).
With more knowledge, maybe the number who die can be halved (maybe). So, let's say "only" 750,000 more die, total deaths, approx 1,200,000.
AND, this assumes that being infected confers immunity that lasts longer than a few months and that people aren't reinfected.
