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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 09:16 AM

Just in case anyone was wondering, this is NOT a data error. Tony double checked it for me. The OBSG is flashing a Buy and has been for a couple days, now.

obsglong.gif


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#2 salam

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 09:29 AM

3095 was the key pivot.... where I got stopped out.

 

Far too many bears, far too much liquidity sloshing around.

 

i has an opportunity yesterday to buy @ 3070 yesterday, but chose to do a long hike and turn off the pc instead.

 

Buy the dips! 


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#3 orange

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 10:22 AM

I'm still trying to find a way to account for the put/call ratio being so low. Maybe this is a new normal?

It's been rising steadily over the last few weeks as we consolidating gains on some indices.


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#4 LMF

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 10:41 AM

The AAII data this morning is still looking good for the bulls, with bulls minus bears = -23.7

#5 salam

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 10:42 AM

Orange

Price, sentiment, liquidity .... trumps so many useful indicators.

7 sentinels on a sell....

Maybe... this time is different!
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#6 12SPX

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 10:47 AM

I'm still trying to find a way to account for the put/call ratio being so low. Maybe this is a new normal?

It's been rising steadily over the last few weeks as we consolidating gains on some indices.

 

Daily means very little, gotta look at least at the 10-day.  The one good thing though is that call premiums in actual options aren't expanding as much as I thought they would but put prices are collapsing so odds are for some selling may be coming up.  I covered my sold puts this morning at the pop higher! 



#7 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 10:59 AM

Orange

Price, sentiment, liquidity .... trumps so many useful indicators.

7 sentinels on a sell....

Maybe... this time is different!

Do not forget implied volatility. That's motive for Buy/Write programs and, if needed futures hedging.

 

M


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#8 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 11:49 AM

This is the relative VIX from a couple days ago. Not a lot has changed. VIX is still remarkably high.

 

RelVIX06-29-20.gif


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#9 steadyquest

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 03:14 PM

A five year chart of NDX with dollar variance removed.  Appears to be at the top of the channel and the extension above the 50-week is pretty comparable to the February top.  Ripe for a correction?

 

 

NDX-5Y.png



#10 Dex

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 03:19 PM

Just in case anyone was wondering, this is NOT a data error. Tony double checked it for me. The OBSG is flashing a Buy and has been for a couple days, now.

obsglong.gif

Do you have that info broken down by index e.g. NASDAQ, S&P, RUT?

 

My guess there are a lot of TECH shorts out there.

 

So TECH might be a buy but others a sell.


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