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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 12:32 PM

HISTORICAL AVERAGE: 38.0%
?
BULLISH
27.2%
+5.0Percentage point
change from
last week

HISTORICAL AVERAGE: 31.5%
?
NEUTRAL
30.2%
-1.8Percentage point
change from
last week

HISTORICAL AVERAGE: 30.5%
?
BEARISH
42.7%
-3.2Percentage point
change from
last week



#2 hhh

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 12:36 PM

57.4% in the market, LOL.



#3 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:35 PM

57.4% in the market, LOL.

57.4% in the market????   and where do you see that?  oh ya   investors intell.......winners have long memories   ......6 months after the 2003 low investors intell got to 65% bulls    ....the market went up for 4 more years


Edited by da_cheif, 09 July 2020 - 01:38 PM.


#4 hhh

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:36 PM

I know you would say 72.9% out of the market, but I don't understand how you calculate that.



#5 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:42 PM

subtract the number of bulls from the number of those who are not bulls



#6 hhh

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:43 PM

Someone could very plausibly be in the market (or not) and yet be neutral on opinion on its direction. I see it in the daily poll here a lot.



#7 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:44 PM

I know you would say 72.9% out of the market, but I don't understand how you calculate that.

where did u see me say 72.9% out of the market.....oh ya   ...i c u figured it out for yourself



#8 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:45 PM

Someone could very plausibly be in the market (or not) and yet be neutral on opinion on its direction. I see it in the daily poll here a lot.

plausibly???     i only look at the raw data    no guess work  ....thats for worriers



#9 hhh

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:47 PM

To clarify, our point of contention is that neutral opinion is assumed by you to indicate the opiner is bearish, while I would submit that it doesn't necessarily indicate anything in particular.



#10 da_cheif

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Posted 09 July 2020 - 01:51 PM

To clarify, our point of contention is that neutral opinion is assumed by you to indicate the opiner is bearish, while I would submit that it doesn't necessarily indicate anything in particular.

the neutrals indicate that they  arent sure but the bulls indicate they are sure........thus when 65% are sure the market is going up its  time to watch out.....as for investors intell they track professional letter writers while AAII tracks nervous j6p s    ..so are ur long or short   or bullish or bearish? ...longer term


Edited by da_cheif, 09 July 2020 - 01:56 PM.