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Likely a Top Here


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#1 redfoliage2

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 11:56 AM

Maybe just a ST top ................



#2 gismeu

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 01:23 PM

Maybe just a ST top ................


Based on what?

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#3 gm_general

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 01:40 PM

Market is up and VIX is up 3%.

 

 


Edited by gm_general, 08 February 2021 - 01:49 PM.


#4 redfoliage2

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 02:13 PM

Market is up and VIX is up 3%.

 

 

This is certainly one of the reasons as VIX is on a solid ST bottom.  My call today is mainly based on a statistic analysis.............


Edited by redfoliage2, 08 February 2021 - 02:13 PM.


#5 q4wer

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 02:15 PM

equity put call ratio has been low for a couple of weeks, but market keeps on going up.



#6 12SPX

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 02:43 PM

More like a couple months actually lol!



#7 slupert

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 03:04 PM

Im still holding SQQQ, FWIW, (JMHO)



#8 pdx5

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 04:53 PM

My clueless top prediction is......exactly 1 year and 1 week after the march 2020 bottom.

Because I am selling all longs during that week hahaha....


Edited by pdx5, 08 February 2021 - 04:55 PM.

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#9 cycletimer

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 07:27 PM

Haven't posted on this board in the longest time.... FWIW, there was a cycle turn due today (TOP?) and I purchased some March SPX 3750 puts before the close today AND purchased a full position in EDV

 

For this week I am expecting lower equity prices and higher long term treasury prices, hence my positions.  I do not trade options very often, maybe two trades per year and only when risk/reward lines up.  That time is now.....



#10 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 08 February 2021 - 07:29 PM

oex put/call has been trending higher over the last 4 trading days with that and the CBOE and Equity still low make me think a top is close at hand.  SPY and QQQ have been advancing over the last week on decreasing volume as well...     This eludes to a higher probability of a top...    There are other indicators such as $CRB:TLT that is inline with the market going higher.

 

$COPPER is still Strong ==> Bullish

Transports are falling which is Bearish...

 

So right now it appears better than a 50/50 chance we are approach a intermediate top until the signals tell us otherwise...