4036 replies to this topic

[linrom1]

bot some AEM below 36.78, HL at 3.42, GOLD at 14.02, first adds, now about 14% long, as always DYODD

 

Senor

There has to a big seller in this---Van ECK?

[dharma]

on friday dsi for dollar =97

dharma

[senorBS]

on friday dsi for dollar =97

dharma

certainly a "parabolic blowoff" type reading, gettin closer, but aways hard to top pick parabolics

 

do you have the gold and silver numbers?

 

Senor

[senorBS]

 

bot some AEM below 36.78, HL at 3.42, GOLD at 14.02, first adds, now about 14% long, as always DYODD

 

Senor

There has to a big seller in this---Van ECK?

 

also added a little NEM starter at 40.37 a little while ago, very, very slow accumulation here

 

Senor

[K Wave]

Today's news

 

The oil market could hit a significant surplus early next year.

 

Retail stock market traders loaded up on puts. A market bounce could be painful.

 

This has been the longest dollar up cycle in history.

look at long term vs YEN

 

This baby is just gettin' warmed up...yes, there will be consolidations/pullbacks

 

But USDJPY will be far off the top of this chart when all is said and done.

 

Tipping point for Japan likely very close now...once BOJ loses control of the 10 year, the vicious spiral begins in earnest...

No way they pay that debt once the genie is finally out of the bottle and Mr. Market forces rates to explode higher.

 

"As of 2022, the Japanese public debt is estimated to be approximately US$12.20 trillion US Dollars (1.4 quadrillion yen)"

 

QUADRILLION YEN

 

Remember, everyone else is much worse off...

 

[senorBS]

Whoa - Hulbert HGNSI MINUS 42.42%, a 22 year extreme! Guarantees nothing but I am thinking downside risk may not be that much. Oversold technical extremes daily and weekly with many divergences as well. DSI likely in single digits, we see and as always DYODD

 

Senor

[dougie]

 

Today's news

 

The oil market could hit a significant surplus early next year.

 

Retail stock market traders loaded up on puts. A market bounce could be painful.

 

This has been the longest dollar up cycle in history.

look at long term vs YEN

 

This baby is just gettin' warmed up...yes, there will be consolidations/pullbacks

 

But USDJPY will be far off the top of this chart when all is said and done.

 

Tipping point for Japan likely very close now...once BOJ loses control of the 10 year, the vicious spiral begins in earnest...

No way they pay that debt once the genie is finally out of the bottle and Mr. Market forces rates to explode higher.

 

"As of 2022, the Japanese public debt is estimated to be approximately US$12.20 trillion US Dollars (1.4 quadrillion yen)"

 

QUADRILLION YEN

 

Remember, everyone else is much worse off...

 

 

could well be. and many have lost fortunes betting on it. one day it will be true. but this isnt the first time the yen demise has been called

[dougie]

Whoa - Hulbert HGNSI MINUS 42.42%, a 22 year extreme! Guarantees nothing but I am thinking downside risk may not be that much. Oversold technical extremes daily and weekly with many divergences as well. DSI likely in single digits, we see and as always DYODD

 

Senor

i tho[ught crashes happen from oversold?

[dougie]

Yes, Dougie, the physical metals premium over spot has been pretty steady over time.

It took a one-time rise around when Covid hit (March '20) and has stayed elevated.

stable in here?

[dougie]

i hear many opine that the real estate market will crash with rates this high. But frankly, very few US mortgages are floting these days.

Sure new young buyers will dry up and that will hurt. But people wont have problems paying till jobs dry up imo