14 replies to this topic

[GDA]

 

Beg to differ, during the last 20 years the SPX  has been up 70% of the time during the next two weeks.

Now that is very interesting! Did you look at those 20 weeks over the last 20 years yourself?
Have you seen discrepancies with Mike Burke before?

Thanks, gis

 

 Yes I did; the difference is that he's looking at stats from second year of Presidential cycle, but the correlation so far has been awful, and there is no reason to believe that the next two weeks it will be any different. 

[gismeu]

Beg to differ, during the last 20 years the SPX  has been up 70% of the time during the next two weeks.

Now that is very interesting! Did you look at those 20 weeks over the last 20 years yourself?
Have you seen discrepancies with Mike Burke before?
Thanks, gis
 
 Yes I did; the difference is that he's looking at stats from second year of Presidential cycle, but the correlation so far has been awful, and there is no reason to believe that the next two weeks it will be any different.

Aha!!! Thanks heaps - gis

[GDA]

 

 

 

Beg to differ, during the last 20 years the SPX  has been up 70% of the time during the next two weeks.

Now that is very interesting! Did you look at those 20 weeks over the last 20 years yourself?
Have you seen discrepancies with Mike Burke before?
Thanks, gis
 
 Yes I did; the difference is that he's looking at stats from second year of Presidential cycle, but the correlation so far has been awful, and there is no reason to believe that the next two weeks it will be any different.

Aha!!! Thanks heaps - gis

 

You can get better results with the decennial cycle.

It's very easy to do on the iphone

https://apps.apple.c...nal/id568684738

[Rogerdodger]

Beg to differ, during the last 20 years the SPX  has been up 70% of the time during the next two weeks

 

Mike Burk was specific about the one week following Easter holiday.

This week actually looks "awfuller" than usual.
For this week the SPX is down 1.22% as of this morning.

Here is Mike's breakdown, Monday thru Friday after Easter based on available data:

SPX summary for all years 1953 - 2021
Avg     -0.02%   0.00%  -0.18%   0.03%  -0.04%  -0.20%

OTC summary for all years 1963 - 2021
Avg     -0.03%  -0.16%  -0.01%   0.15%  -0.34%  -0.40%

Edited by Rogerdodger, 22 April 2022 - 10:00 AM.

[Rogerdodger]

Kinda awful for bulls watching the sky...

 

SPX closed down 2.75% (120.81) on the week.

 

SPX closed down 5.71% (-258.63) on the month so far.

 

Monthy $USD up 2.29%,

Monthly $GOLD down 1%

Monthly GBTC down 8.19%

Edited by Rogerdodger, 22 April 2022 - 04:00 PM.