I am looking at the 3,5/7-year cycle, and harmonics of the ~4week cycle. This is now a bear market. Expecting some kind of a low around May 9-16, but generel downtrend into Oct-Nov, and with probably lower lows in 2023.
Posted 01 May 2022 - 02:31 AM
I am looking at the 3,5/7-year cycle, and harmonics of the ~4week cycle. This is now a bear market. Expecting some kind of a low around May 9-16, but generel downtrend into Oct-Nov, and with probably lower lows in 2023.
Youtube JBCycles
Posted 01 May 2022 - 04:50 PM
I am seeing a final low the this selloff at the end of this year, so similar to what you see...
Posted 02 May 2022 - 04:08 AM
@Russ
Yes, depending on the shape of the bear, I do have a scenario for a final low around Feb.23. That would be an "extension" of a drop into Oct-Nov.
Otherwise the most likely dates for a bear low is around Oct-Nov, or July.23
Youtube JBCycles
Posted 02 May 2022 - 09:37 AM
I agree with you both. I have never seen more obvious reasons for a bear market than now, except when internet mania was present in 2000. Keep in mind there will be many red hot rallies during a bear market. That is a classic symptom of bear markets.
Posted 02 May 2022 - 09:57 AM
I am watching the VIX spike to try and pick a long entry for short term - I see two possible entries based on the trend lines in red - could be now or if VIX spikes to 50ish.