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Update on cycles and scenarios May.1

Started by bigbud , May 01 2022 02:31 AM

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5 replies to this topic

#1 bigbud

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Posted 01 May 2022 - 02:31 AM

I am looking at the 3,5/7-year cycle, and harmonics of the ~4week cycle. This is now a bear market. Expecting some kind of a low around May 9-16, but generel downtrend into Oct-Nov, and with probably lower lows in 2023.

Youtube JBCycles

https://www.youtube.com/@jbcycles

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#2 Russ

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Posted 01 May 2022 - 04:50 PM

I am seeing a final low the this selloff at the end of this year, so similar to what you see...

"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong

http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

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#3 bigbud

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Posted 02 May 2022 - 04:08 AM

@Russ

Yes, depending on the shape of the bear, I do have a scenario for a final low around Feb.23. That would be an "extension" of a drop into Oct-Nov.

Otherwise the most likely dates for a bear low is around Oct-Nov, or July.23

Youtube JBCycles

https://www.youtube.com/@jbcycles

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#4 pdx5

I want return OF my money more than return ON my money

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Posted 02 May 2022 - 09:37 AM

I agree with you both. I have never seen more obvious reasons for a bear market than now, except when internet mania was present in 2000. Keep in mind there will be many red hot rallies during a bear market. That is a classic symptom of bear markets.

"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule

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#5 gm_general

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Posted 02 May 2022 - 09:57 AM

I am watching the VIX spike to try and pick a long entry for short term - I see two possible entries based on the trend lines in red - could be now or if VIX spikes to 50ish.