492 replies to this topic

[dTraderB]

This bottoming process could go on for another few weeks BUT MY FF is this will be the final attempt at 

a NEW LOW In 2022 and markets will rally afterwards.

But, difficult to see this as a V-shaped rally going above ES 4250-4300

 

I am building a VERY BIG LONG POSITION. I could wait to try to predict the LOW but 

my 35 years of trading warns me against that. 

 

I have a small HEDGE short  - 1 each ES & NQ and will try not to add to this unless 

the LONG position gets much larger. 

 

As always, geopolitical issues & events can smash all predictions etc

[andr99]

less than another week, by next Friday 

[dTraderB]

@AdamMancini4

·

21h

 

Have a great weekend! Back to square 1. Last week #ES_F lost Junes low then reclaimed it triggering a 250 point squeeze. On Friday, we re-tested it. Decision time Plan: 3630=support. Looking to 3730. It clears, Oct rally survives to 3770+. 3630 fails, we see 3595, gate to 3475

 

[dTraderB]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tom McClellan

 

@McClellanOsc

·

23h

 

It also should have been seen back then, by the honchos at Treasury, that borrowing at that rate for 30 years would have been a great deal for taxpayers. But pols are too shortsighted.

Quote Tweet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jay Kaeppel

 

@jaykaeppel

·

Oct 8

Why have bonds been hammered? Look at the logarithmic chart of yield on 30-yr treasuries. In retrospect, it should have been obvious in March 2020 that locking in a return of 0.84% for 30 years was a bad idea. Since the peak, ticker ZROZ is down -55%. A painful for too many.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tom McClellan

 

@McClellanOsc

·

23h

 

It also should have been seen back then, by the honchos at Treasury, that borrowing at that rate for 30 years would have been a great deal for taxpayers. But pols are too shortsighted.

Quote Tweet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jay Kaeppel

 

@jaykaeppel

·

Oct 8

Why have bonds been hammered? Look at the logarithmic chart of yield on 30-yr treasuries. In retrospect, it should have been obvious in March 2020 that locking in a return of 0.84% for 30 years was a bad idea. Since the peak, ticker ZROZ is down -55%. A painful for too many.

[dTraderB]

Who is/are propping up BITCOIN?

 

@McClellanOsc

 

 

My latest Chart In Focus article, "COT Report Data Work Backwards in Bitcoin", is posted at https://mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/cot_report_data_work_backwards_in_bitcoin/….

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tom McClellan

 

@McClellanOsc

·

23h

 

It also should have been seen back then, by the honchos at Treasury, that borrowing at that rate for 30 years would have been a great deal for taxpayers. But pols are too shortsighted.

Quote Tweet

 

[dTraderB]

Down by less than 100, higher low - so far.... one final plunge will do it

Looking for ES 3540-50

 

[dTraderB]

Interesting....  

Cam Hui, CFA

 

@HumbleStudent

 

 

Replying to

@hmeisler

Here's a 10 year perspective of $CPCE

https://twitter.com/...782662407630848

[dTraderB]

Getting there, should get to extreme bearishness soon

 

@hmeisler

 

 

Saturday Poll. The next 100 points for the S&P?

•  

  UP

  42.9%
•  

  DOWN

  57.1%

4,450 votes·Final results

 

 

 

 

 

Interesting....  

Cam Hui, CFA

 

@HumbleStudent

 

 

Replying to

@hmeisler

Here's a 10 year perspective of $CPCE

https://twitter.com/...782662407630848

 

[dTraderB]

Callum Thomas

 

@Callum_Thomas

·

17h

 

Your equities view/positioning is (primary reason in brackets):

•  

  Bullish (Fundamentals)

  15.6%
•  

  Bullish (Technicals)

  14.8%
•  

  Bearish (Fundamentals)

  55.6%
•  

  Bearish (Technicals)

  13.9%

1,206 votes·6 hours left

[dTraderB]

@Callum_Thomas

·

17h

 

Your *bonds* view/positioning is (primary reason in brackets): [Bearish = rising yields] [Bullish = falling yields]

•  

  Bullish (Fundamentals)

  27.1%
•  

  Bullish (Technicals)

  13.3%
•  

  Bearish (Fundamentals)

  51.2%
•  

  Bearish (Technicals)

  8.4%

737 votes·6 hours left

@Callum_Thomas

·

17h

 

Your *bonds* view/positioning is (primary reason in brackets): [Bearish = rising yields] [Bullish = falling yields]

•  

  Bullish (Fundamentals)

  27.1%
•  

  Bullish (Technicals)

  13.3%
•  

  Bearish (Fundamentals)

  51.2%
•  

  Bearish (Technicals)

  8.4%

737 votes·6 hours left