Jump to content



Photo

VIX

is it down enough

  • Please log in to reply
31 replies to this topic

#1 tradesurfer

tradesurfer

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,944 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 08:38 AM

Shouldnt VIX be down like 5% now as a big gap down to confirm we have bottomed in this zone?

 

VIX is only down 1.85%

 

And we are in Chris Carolans 'dark days'  today, Wednesday, Thurs and Friday and maybe monday too.

 

 



#2 tradesurfer

tradesurfer

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,944 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 08:41 AM

Now only down 1.5% wow !!!!!!

 

 

Shouldnt VIX be down like 5% now as a big gap down to confirm we have bottomed in this zone?

 

VIX is only down 1.85%

 

And we are in Chris Carolans 'dark days'  today, Wednesday, Thurs and Friday and maybe monday too.

 

 



#3 tradesurfer

tradesurfer

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,944 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 08:46 AM



#4 tradesurfer

tradesurfer

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,944 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 10:28 AM

VIX is green on the day so far !!!

 

Dark days approvaching fast

 

Oil down 5% wow !


Edited by tradesurfer, 18 October 2022 - 10:31 AM.


#5 OEXCHAOS

OEXCHAOS

    Mark S. Young

  • Admin
  • 21,998 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 01:02 PM

At 2:00 Eastern I have it down 1.94% I would like to see a bit more, but the trend on this sure looks to have turned. The close is more important than the intra-day, too.


Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:
http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
You can now follow me on twitter


#6 EntropyModel

EntropyModel

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,723 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 02:16 PM

I also show VIX momo turning positive ( or I guess negative :-) ) ..here' simple signal I use part of my Volatility model .

Overall model shows we are 'trying' to make an IT low ..but the setup is not good and I expect a failed attempt over this and next week though

i'd like to be wrong and we get a big bounce.

 

Can't seem to get this image to show ....but here is link.

https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/NzQ3MjI2M18yMDM4NzkzNg


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#7 gm_general

gm_general

    Member

  • TT Member+
  • 1,653 posts

Posted 18 October 2022 - 03:40 PM

VIX MACD closed at the line I expected resistance here

 



#8 K Wave

K Wave

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 25,942 posts

Posted 19 October 2022 - 05:21 PM

I also show VIX momo turning positive ( or I guess negative :-) ) ..here' simple signal I use part of my Volatility model .

Overall model shows we are 'trying' to make an IT low ..but the setup is not good and I expect a failed attempt over this and next week though

i'd like to be wrong and we get a big bounce.

 

Can't seem to get this image to show ....but here is link.

https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/NzQ3MjI2M18yMDM4NzkzNg

IF that turn back up does not mainfest...crashes happen on violation of support that no one thinks can be Broken...AKA last Thursday low.

If we are below that low from here forward going into the weekend....sure would line up with the Dark Days....woo woo

 

Anyway, if this overnight action on TSLA sticks, and breaks below the lows tomorrow..be very careful going into the weekend.


Edited by K Wave, 19 October 2022 - 05:26 PM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#9 EntropyModel

EntropyModel

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,723 posts

Posted 19 October 2022 - 05:46 PM

 

I also show VIX momo turning positive ( or I guess negative :-) ) ..here' simple signal I use part of my Volatility model .

Overall model shows we are 'trying' to make an IT low ..but the setup is not good and I expect a failed attempt over this and next week though

i'd like to be wrong and we get a big bounce.

 

Can't seem to get this image to show ....but here is link.

https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/NzQ3MjI2M18yMDM4NzkzNg

IF that turn back up does not mainfest...crashes happen on violation of support that no one thinks can be Broken...AKA last Thursday low.

If we are below that low from here forward going into the weekend....sure would line up with the Dark Days....woo woo

 

Anyway, if this overnight action on TSLA sticks, and breaks below the lows tomorrow..be very careful going into the weekend.

 

 

Yes Kwave - a failure of  the current low  on  historical backtest of my model, would give a pattern setup only seen approximately 4 times in 100 years, and was extremely bearish longer term in those cases.

A failure would likely not be immediate though, and take a few weeks with multiple attempts to hold this Key 3400-3500 pivot. Essentially that setup without going into all the conditions is a 'failure to make an

IT low' at this point in a bear market. My model is giving very high odds that will be the case here as said over next week or so but i'd expect more attempts to hold that pivot if/when we retest it that is

part of the pattern setup.


Edited by EntropyModel, 19 October 2022 - 05:47 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#10 EntropyModel

EntropyModel

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,723 posts

Posted 19 October 2022 - 08:38 PM

fyi - I talked more about this in tonight update

 


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB