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AAII more bears than bulls...amazing


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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 16 February 2023 - 06:50 AM

https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

 

II bull bear ratio 18%...   long way to go...history has shown it gets to 45% and stays there for months


Edited by da_cheif, 16 February 2023 - 06:53 AM.


#2 4caster

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Posted 16 February 2023 - 10:08 AM

The 2/15/23 AAII readings are as follows: Bulls 34.1, Neutral 37.1, Bears 28.8. That's not more

Bears than Bulls. Typically, but not always, a definitive ST top signal occurs when the Bull

reading is at 50 or above while at the same time the Bear reading is at 20 or below. Typically,

but not always, a definitive ST bottom signal occurs when the Bull reading is at 20 or below

and at the same time the Bear reading is at 50 or above. The current AAII readings are not

giving a definitive signal one way or the other.



#3 skott

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Posted 16 February 2023 - 01:32 PM

The 2/15/23 AAII readings are as follows: Bulls 34.1, Neutral 37.1, Bears 28.8. That's not more

Bears than Bulls. Typically, but not always, a definitive ST top signal occurs when the Bull

reading is at 50 or above while at the same time the Bear reading is at 20 or below. Typically,

but not always, a definitive ST bottom signal occurs when the Bull reading is at 20 or below

and at the same time the Bear reading is at 50 or above. The current AAII readings are not

giving a definitive signal one way or the other.

 

 

Thanks for clearing up the misinformation. Keep us posted ok?



#4 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 16 February 2023 - 03:48 PM

NAAIM median exposure fell from 94% to 75% long. That's a rounding error from a ST Buy and a big drop in a market where Cumulative Breadth is positive.


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#5 4caster

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Posted 16 February 2023 - 03:49 PM

 

The 2/15/23 AAII readings are as follows: Bulls 34.1, Neutral 37.1, Bears 28.8. That's not more

Bears than Bulls. Typically, but not always, a definitive ST top signal occurs when the Bull

reading is at 50 or above while at the same time the Bear reading is at 20 or below. Typically,

but not always, a definitive ST bottom signal occurs when the Bull reading is at 20 or below

and at the same time the Bear reading is at 50 or above. The current AAII readings are not

giving a definitive signal one way or the other.

 

 

Thanks for clearing up the misinformation. Keep us posted ok?

Ok, thanks for your kind words.



#6 skott

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Posted 17 February 2023 - 02:22 PM

2021 inflows into the stock market exceeded the previous 19+ years combined. Would you believe so far in 2023 they are exceeding even that madness.

 

https://finance.yaho...-193801422.html



#7 K Wave

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Posted 19 February 2023 - 06:53 PM

2021 inflows into the stock market exceeded the previous 19+ years combined. Would you believe so far in 2023 they are exceeding even that madness.

 

https://finance.yaho...-193801422.html

Once Tesla cracks 200, those buyers scrambling to get in could be in for a very rude awakening


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#8 skott

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Posted 19 February 2023 - 08:44 PM

 

2021 inflows into the stock market exceeded the previous 19+ years combined. Would you believe so far in 2023 they are exceeding even that madness.

 

https://finance.yaho...-193801422.html

Once Tesla cracks 200, those buyers scrambling to get in could be in for a very rude awakening

 

 

 

indeed, putting in record amounts by amatuers near lows is bearish. Bear markets have the most 20% rallies. We've had nearly three of them since June.