90 replies to this topic

[EntropyModel]

Yep - into green box right on queue as ended orange right on queue!

now I can guage 'strength'

[EntropyModel]

 

Yep - into green box right on queue as ended orange right on queue!

now I can guage 'strength'

 

 

After today 'strong up support' tomorrow shd see bit of weakness..if the minor fractals continue to play out ..which they have been.

[EntropyModel]

Signal model moving to sell area here right now as well - so that supports the fractal road map - start to see weakness again from around todays highs into tomorrow.

[EntropyModel]

Phew - really tired from interviews ...was difficult topics and wasn't the best answers on some of them ..I have never been formally interviewed and its quite different ... think we were talking for 5 hours LOL ...well, we'll see how they turn out after edits etc

 

I suspect - this is currently 'wave e' of abcde final swing ...I will explain on chart when I get time ..but to fit the fractal ..there wd need to be a 'throw over' on 'e' ...basically a 'stop run' then reversal down ... into early next week.

 

 

 

 

Edited by EntropyModel, 29 March 2023 - 01:06 PM.

[EntropyModel]

Quick video update

[EntropyModel]

When perma bear sites (except when their bullish just at wrong times) has headline 'ndx in new bull' ....you know sentiment is moving to where I said it would ..just sayin' ..seeing it in my data as well ...its a process..still has a ways to go I think.

https://www.zerohedg...-big-tech-surge

[EntropyModel]

NYMO looks like early warning here ...I have some 'out the box' analysis of it ..not sure I want to publicly show it ..but its showing bit of 'euphoria' and says we likely top out next 1-2 sessions for at least pullback ..which fits the ST model and fractal .... then wd ideally need a new high with neg divergences ....BUT ..we NEVER got +Div on the bounce which is ultimately negative in this case (wasn't a panic/v_reversal) ...kind of hard to describe in words and very technical..

 

ALSO - Sterling looks like making important IT top, and maybe finally USD can similarly make a low ( I think its struggles are warning of $ loss of confidence..but it likely as at least ONE more IT runup coming here) .) ..and BOND ..got very high odds signals for attempt Swing/IT up on TNX ...so going to be 'interesting' and perhaps THE most important tell on these - as IF dollar takes off AND bonds sell off ...its going be BIG problem for stocks in few weeks ...Bond I think are crucial as said as seems 100% believe bonds have turned ..but waves pattern and signals do NOT agree ..so this period is critical.

Edited by EntropyModel, 29 March 2023 - 05:55 PM.

[EntropyModel]

the CAKE Is NOT BAKED ...YET ... looking over stuff.. probably 5+ more sessions needed ..lots things I don't see I need to see .... next couple days though will see If I'm on right lines ..

[Waver]

Busy today and tomorrow so less posting as said
 - preparing/doing interview I mentioned 
 - also preparing for 4 day GRand Canyon backpacking trip next week ...it going to be a bit epic ..haven't been able to train much due to 150 inches of snow here in Arizona, a 1 in 100 year winter
and temps still running 20 degree below average all of March! ..Brrrr.   ..so have to drive down off mountain to train, ironically, by climbing back up that mountain LOL .
 
BUt - I see ALOT going on ..
 - TNX held 32 ...impulsed up ..getting really important there next week or so 
 - Dollar same I mentioned ..as DOllar and bonds are sstrongly correlated few realize
 
Stocks - still trackign that fractal ...WEAKLY so far ...end of Oragne into Green this week  ...will be intersting to see IF we drop again her e...then I have a very close match on minor path ..(analog Jan 23+ period).
either way...this is more and more bearish on all my stuff and read unless something changes ...if we get more of this grind up all week ...I am very confident of where this is headed, and frankly,
 its over a cliff in April ... i'm afraid Reality is about to make an appearance on the mass delusion most are living in.  I note..even the briefest pause in selling (as per last 12 days or so) produce INSANE BULLISHNESS ..certainly relative to the obvious meteor now hitting financial system - this is getting CRAZY ..and I believe we ar ein last few weeks of the financial system as we have all known it - Biggest retail bull trap of ALL tIME I believe forming here...logic and reality means it HAS to be until proven wrong..so far everything technically and sentiment is confiriming for me...need AT least a move up above 4150 to even begin to question that...i doubt we get above 4075-4100 area before[/size]
next downleg.

4085 now
Let’s see

[EntropyModel]

 

Busy today and tomorrow so less posting as said
 - preparing/doing interview I mentioned 
 - also preparing for 4 day GRand Canyon backpacking trip next week ...it going to be a bit epic ..haven't been able to train much due to 150 inches of snow here in Arizona, a 1 in 100 year winter
and temps still running 20 degree below average all of March! ..Brrrr.   ..so have to drive down off mountain to train, ironically, by climbing back up that mountain LOL .
 
BUt - I see ALOT going on ..
 - TNX held 32 ...impulsed up ..getting really important there next week or so 
 - Dollar same I mentioned ..as DOllar and bonds are sstrongly correlated few realize
 
Stocks - still trackign that fractal ...WEAKLY so far ...end of Oragne into Green this week  ...will be intersting to see IF we drop again her e...then I have a very close match on minor path ..(analog Jan 23+ period).
either way...this is more and more bearish on all my stuff and read unless something changes ...if we get more of this grind up all week ...I am very confident of where this is headed, and frankly,
 its over a cliff in April ... i'm afraid Reality is about to make an appearance on the mass delusion most are living in.  I note..even the briefest pause in selling (as per last 12 days or so) produce INSANE BULLISHNESS ..certainly relative to the obvious meteor now hitting financial system - this is getting CRAZY ..and I believe we ar ein last few weeks of the financial system as we have all known it - Biggest retail bull trap of ALL tIME I believe forming here...logic and reality means it HAS to be until proven wrong..so far everything technically and sentiment is confiriming for me...need AT least a move up above 4150 to even begin to question that...i doubt we get above 4075-4100 area before[/size]
next downleg.

4085 now
Let’s see

 

 

did u see my posts  yesterday ?  I 'm looking for down move from here today. tracking fractal 100% so far to amazing degree...then shd be some chop, then one more spike up probably to 4100'ish into early next week.

Edited by EntropyModel, 30 March 2023 - 10:55 AM.