33 replies to this topic

[blustar]

WEDNESDAY October 15 is an 8/16 TD top and it is the week of option expiration (OPEX). Crashes usually begin on Wednesdays. The COVID crash topped on OPEX WED.

 

Monday morning could gap up to 6743 SPX [the up trend line broken or snap back behavior] and then drop 150 pts into Tuesday's full moon to 6593 SPX.

 

Oct 15 - Nov 10 crash?  Nov 9 is Mercury Rx and Nov 11 is Jupiter Rx. Mars opposes Uranus on Nov 4. And that is a BIG crash signature.

[blustar]

SPX Futures are pegging ~ 6733 as I write this. Ideally, the SPX cash should tag ~6743/44 and then drop into Tuesday hard to near the 6592-98 zone.

 

 

I believe that Friday last week (my ALGO target top) witnessed the orthodox top from the April 7, 2025 bottom. In wave terms, it formed a double three a-b-c X a-b-c rally from the late June (23) low.

 

From that low to present the major cycle pullbacks ran 28-21(49) trading days and now 25 TD's tomorrow projecting a hard low on Nov 10 (24 TD's).

 

The 18 year cycle projects a final top for the SPX on Oct 11 and the DJI for Oct 16. The current NDX cycle projects a 17 TD high on WEDNESDAY October 15. 

 

I believe we are making an irregular top in mid October and falling hard into the 24th of October. The wave count would be [x] 10/7, [y] 10/15-16 and [z] 10/24 = A. B= Oct 29 on the FED announcement and C = Nov 10, 2025.

 

The rallies in gold and silver are showing panic buying. They should top on October 20th. $4000+ an oz. gold and $50+ oz. Silver are in the bag. This not a good sign for the stock market, which is extremely overvalued and showing massive momentum divergences! 

 

The SPX could hit 3800 next week and [y] should sport a strong a-b-c type rally with "b" due Monday next week and "c' due on the CPI report.

 

A drop of about 35% is expected (IMHO) from October- November this year.

Edited by blustar, 06 October 2025 - 08:32 AM.

[andr99]

 

 

A drop of about 35% is expected (IMHO) from October- November this year.

 

 

If that happens, I promise I will ask to become priest. 

Edited by andr99, 06 October 2025 - 11:22 AM.

[andr99]

priest andr99, that would be phenomenal news, no one would believe it

Edited by andr99, 06 October 2025 - 01:06 PM.

[blustar]

It is looking more and more like an 11 plus a 6+9 TD low for Wednesday. The 8th (early on) sports the normally bullish Venus in Virgo sextile Jupiter in Cancer. Mercury in Scorpio squares Pluto tomorrow morning. The moon turns full tonight and then enters warlike Aries. Mercury in Scorpio forms a quincunx to Uranus tonight (surprises, disruptions) and last night Mercury formed a quincunx to Neptune (irrational exuberance).

 

It looks like we could be forming an irrational, irregular top tomorrow and possibly an x-y-z [Z] wave of a larger [X-Y-Z] B Wave broadening top formation. We have not seen a 3+% pull back since May. Maybe we are due.

[q4wer]

10/7 is a top,  10/9 is a low, then back up to 10/17 - 20 , then crash. 

[ZIDANE]

Lol…lots of folks trying to pick a top here instead of just paying attention to what the market is telling us. “THE top” won’t come until there’s no more bears standing, which I suspect is at least another 20-30% upside from current market levels.

Fasten your seatbelts ladies and gentlemen. Ignore the day to day noise and focus on the underlying trend which has been up since April and shall remain up till proven otherwise. Can we see a shallow 1-3% pullback? Maybe, but not likely. And if it does pull back, new highs will soon be imminent.

As Da Chief would say….watch the sky!

[gismeu]

Based on how I read the tea leaves or better the stars and planets, we will go up, or at least more up than down on a daily basis, until around November 1st, then a 3 week pause, meaning sideways to a little bit down and then we start the year end rally.

 

Let's see if these German tea leaves are worth their salt, gis   

[cycletimer]

I’m in agreement that the pullback won’t develop until November, barring a “black swan” arriving in late October (10/20-24th time frame). I have significant turn dates in that month.
I’m not losing money in index puts anymore. I feel stupid by holding puts all through September and my account dropping 11%. I’ve gained 5% of that back this month, day trading hut that is brain dmamge.

[blustar]

I kept saying that October 10/13 should be an important low based on the Venus opposition to Saturn/Neptune Oct 11-13 and Oct 13 is when Pluto > Sta/Dx (Stationary Direct). I also  had a TLC buy low due then!

 

We are in the same wave count today as July 28 or 29, 2025, which was a Monday or Tuesday back then. Socrates also has Oct 13 as a panic low. Tomorrow has Venus sextile Jupiter, which might see a gap up and drop into Thursday. Thursday or Friday should be the FOMO move up.

 

This places the final top on the 22nd/23rd of October with an A Wave panic into October 31!