10 replies to this topic

[andr99]

this is another operation Maduro in a larger scale. Behind it there are the same reasons that led to the fall of Maduro, which are economic EOM 

[andr99]

an economic reason which leads to wiping out a terrorist regime, which is a very good thing. But time is too long for the markets. Let's see if they use their influence to calm down the stock market which thing would be good. . 

Edited by andr99, 29 March 2026 - 11:39 AM.

[andr99]

obviously all the things that are said about trying to find an agreement are not true. Next step is boots on the ground. That's my whole opinion about this giant mess. 

[cycletimer]

I'm in total agreement with both of your recent topics (Terrible politics, to the point I will never vote again, and several of my close friends and family members share this sentiment). 

The Oil trade is a long term newly established trend in my opinion, and this is also the forecast of Martin Armstrong, he has a forecast of $180-200. per barrel over the course of the next two years.  

Even though my retirement portfolio is only 55% equities, it's been heavily tilted toward oil stocks and consumer staples since late last year.  Any short-term peace in the near term will not stop the oil trade for long. I would use today and the next few days that XLE is down, to accumulate and add more. 

As for cycles, I have the first part of April UP, followed by a volatile remainder of the month, down the last part of April.  

 

* I like long term treasuries thru the end of this month.  I have 15% of my portfolio in $ZROZ, a leveraged way to play $TLT.  I know, I know, inflation and yields going up, over the next few weeks to months there will be a flight to quality/fear trade, and the flight will go to treasuries.  (I trade $ZROZ on an intermediate term trade for 2-3 times per year, I'm always early but so far, I'm 5 for 5 in this trade since 2024, and trade is good for 12-15% return).

[andr99]

well, let me tell you that I had to think three times before posting this topic, because I don't like to look inside someone else's house or if you want to look inside a house which is not mine and I'm also aware that 

 

I live in a European country where politics is far worse than in any other first world country. However given that in the US there's freedom of speech and I just express a not-offensive opinion, I decided to post. 

[cycletimer]

The best part of residing here in the US (most states anyway) is our beloved 2nd Amendment.  

[12SPX]

The nice thing is at least there is freedom of speech and you can vote and that right should never be given up. Non voting just gets you in more trouble and that is what has happened up here in Canada, they are shutting down our free speech and one party continues to win because of the structure of voting that they have implemented.  I'm from Alberta where it is the one province that basically supports the rest of the country and normal people live but because there are fewer people there votes don't matter.  Carney just came out and said that we are the most affordable ever while he just upped the carbon tax again meanwhile giving himself and the rest of the government raises!!  You guys need to be thankful that each state makes most of its own decisions on how to live according to the voters there. 

 

I think the war over there is great and was going to be mad if they pulled out as my Iranian friends are all cheering for Trump to keep going so they can finally come out of they're homes and hopefully take over. 

 

People also seem to forget gas in the States was around $4 a barrel not that long go anyhow.  I go to Alabama alot and it is still around $3.50 which it was just 2 years ago which is only about +27%.  Gas up here is up +46% and that is per litre which is 4 times the price of gas sooooooo...

 

Nonetheless I also love the trading were seeing over all this as it has been hugely profitable and if I was shorting anything I would start with oil and build on it.  Anything that starts going straight up always peaks out eventually at least for a trade just like gold at $5500 and silver $110.  I do believe this whole thing will be over sooner than later so it could drop like a rock if they take over the strait which obviously they will in the end.  Either way going to be exciting in the next month....

[andr99]

The best part of residing here in the US (most states anyway) is our beloved 2nd Amendment.  

 

the best part of residing here is that you can go to reside elsewhere LOL. The place where I live is beautiful to say the least. Unfortunately in 1866 it became part of italy which thing we're still paying.   

[cycletimer]

 

The best part of residing here in the US (most states anyway) is our beloved 2nd Amendment.  

 

the best part of residing here is that you can go to reside elsewhere LOL. The place where I live is beautiful to say the least. Unfortunately in 1866 it became part of italy which thing we're still paying.   

 

I feel like I'm in Paradise. I live rural, on five acres. I have a pistol range on one side of my house and a 90-yard rifle range on the other side.  We have wildlife galore, two days ago I killed a snake crawling into our garage!  My wife is now a fulltime gardener, so our produce is fresh and not store-bought. Frankly, I don't feel anything in Washington D.C. and how its run will affect us where we reside.  

[andr99]

we also have snakes, but they are less dangerous than the communists who are a lot and all together they understand less than a cat. There are no venomous snakes here luckily, apart 

 

from a species of viper that has a bite that needs to be treated in hospital, but sincerely it's not something to be worried about that much.