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Volatility will likely remain


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#1 12SPX

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Posted 06 July 2026 - 08:28 AM

To me it appears that volatility will remain as we make our way through July for this expiration cycle at least so last night with the futures open I sold the daily ES 7600 calls for $5 and they're looking decent this morning as we go into the cash open. 



#2 redfoliage2

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Posted 06 July 2026 - 10:23 AM

Well, as I predicted last Friday we got a big bounce today. Now with spx up over 50 points vix stays positive. I'd not be surprised if the bounce gets sold ..............

Edited by redfoliage2, 06 July 2026 - 10:31 AM.


#3 redfoliage2

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Posted 06 July 2026 - 12:53 PM

BTW, with yields of T-bonds rising and the "Summer Doldrums" the market is having liquidity problem, and big bounces are more likely to be sold...............

Edited by redfoliage2, 06 July 2026 - 01:02 PM.


#4 12SPX

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Posted 06 July 2026 - 02:52 PM

Whoops didn't hit send when I took profits but with 7 minutes left I could have taken them here anyhow for $4.20



#5 redfoliage2

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Posted 06 July 2026 - 02:58 PM

More likely just range bound moves and today both Spx and Ndx hit the top of the range and bounced back down............

#6 12SPX

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Posted 07 July 2026 - 09:09 AM

I know I'm way behind posting here but last night although it was close I sold the 7620 daily calls for $5 as the market is near highs and just took profits for $4.  Looking to sell some puts here if we can down enough....



#7 12SPX

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Posted 07 July 2026 - 09:20 AM

Sold the daily 7490 puts for $2.50



#8 12SPX

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Posted 07 July 2026 - 11:02 AM

Taking profits for $2 on the sold 7490 puts



#9 redfoliage2

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Posted 07 July 2026 - 11:29 AM

With yesterday's gap up and today's gap down an Island top formed in both NDX and SPX.  I see bounces likely to be sold ............................


Edited by redfoliage2, 07 July 2026 - 11:39 AM.


#10 redfoliage2

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Posted 07 July 2026 - 12:26 PM

But this Island top pattern is void if the down gap gets back filled later today, let's see .........................


Edited by redfoliage2, 07 July 2026 - 12:27 PM.