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Next year, recession ?


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#1 andr99

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Posted 18 September 2026 - 02:56 AM

I've got such a feeling, eom.


forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard


#2 12SPX

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Posted 18 September 2026 - 07:51 AM

The way its going its possible.  The market is doing exactly what I thought it would do all year as volatility has remained and wouldn't be surprised if we saw a down year next with tons of volatility as I believe earnings overall are peaking out....



#3 pdx5

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Posted 19 September 2026 - 11:20 AM

Interest rates have gone up from 4.9% to 5.35% for long term Treasury bonds, in about 4 months.
If rates reach 6%, I expect fireworks!
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule

#4 andr99

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Posted 19 September 2026 - 12:03 PM

to tell the truth, in past years when rates were raised, the stock market after an initial correction, started to grow for many more months. But here there's something different I think. Infact, we have inflation growing (which is the cause 

 

why central banks raise interest rates) while people don't buy any more. Here where I am I can see a contraction in goods' consuming because salaries are blocked and costs are surging. That will bring nothing good when we

 

get past early next year. The strong hands should start to distribute in my view, early next year or so and then when they're over with distribution, they will let the market drop. 


Edited by andr99, 19 September 2026 - 12:07 PM.

forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard