post expiration adjustment time...
#81
Posted 16 July 2006 - 10:41 PM
Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
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#82
Posted 17 July 2006 - 10:29 AM
#83
Posted 17 July 2006 - 11:52 AM
I forgot about that. Here's my prediction, which I'm sure will happen...
Most who are waiting for the 4 yr cycle low to come will still be waiting for it 3 yrs from now AFTER it already came (never as planned, envisioned or expected) and they will miss the next 4 yr up phase. Sitting there saying, "it hasn't come yet" or "it might have BUT it's too late now to hop on...it's waaaay overvalued and too parabolic."
That's why I'm staying put and riding it out. Its not worth the shuffle.
OK, maybe you are correct on your view of the 4 year low and maybe not. The real question is why?
What do you see that makes you believe the 4 year low is in.
FWIW I am a screaming bull into late summer to early fall 2009. However, I have 30 years of data that indicates the 4 year low will happen. If not, then it gets delayed to next year but does not come early. I can support that statement. What are you seeing that supports your view. It is not important to me that I agree or disagree, I just don't get what you are looking at.
Thanks
KC
#84
Posted 18 July 2006 - 07:37 PM
#85
Posted 18 July 2006 - 07:59 PM
#86
Posted 19 July 2006 - 07:23 AM
I agree on that timing... However I don't think the market will be able to make a new high after that. Da bounce in 1270-90. That's it. That would be 70 days North-East direction, just like to Moscow, not To-Da-Moon.
Anyhow... you did a nice job, cheif. Thanks.
Well... in a month since my comment above we've got expected 1270-90. Then retraced back to June low. Now we'll try again "to-da-moooooo..." But as I said a month ago we're going North-East, folks... North-East to Moscow like these pinguins.
Da_Astronauts will be wrong again...
#87
Posted 19 July 2006 - 08:52 AM
#88
Posted 19 July 2006 - 09:29 AM
seems i heard that argument about 1170 once......
I agree on that timing... However I don't think the market will be able to make a new high after that. Da bounce in 1270-90. That's it. That would be 70 days North-East direction, just like to Moscow, not To-Da-Moon.
Anyhow... you did a nice job, cheif. Thanks.
Well... in a month since my comment above we've got expected 1270-90. Then retraced back to June low. Now we'll try again "to-da-moooooo..." But as I said a month ago we're going North-East, folks... North-East to Moscow like these pinguins.
Da_Astronauts will be wrong again...
#89
Posted 19 July 2006 - 10:02 AM
oil is falling now as the 3 gap play spelled doom for the price of crud......crude....lol....now 5 dollars off its high.....78.40 was the high in the accessthe sox appears to be at or near the end of a diagonal triangle 5th wave rite at its 75% retrace off the low of 9/10/04...if thats correct a turn up off a diag triangle is usualy quite violent......anytime now...
sentiment improved again....as Timer Digest shows 70% of the top ten are out of the market....with the 3 top timers bullish that suggests about 90% of the 120 tracked are bearish.....there have been times when all of the top ten were out....(rare)....but allways at a very important low......with calls for 100 to 200 dollar a barrel oil the wave structure of oil with its recent 3 gap play suggests otherwise.....once bonds take out 105.15 its bombs away to 100 fast...imho
#90
Posted 19 July 2006 - 04:05 PM
http://www.newportha...mputerworks.htm