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What might a bear market look like?


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#1 James Quillian

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Posted 06 January 2007 - 01:51 PM

It is hard to guess the exact path a bear market in stocks will follow. I would expect something like what we are seeing in the commodities indexes, no comfortable way to exit.

Friday's big black crow on the BOVESPA (Brazil) looks ominous.

Charts, Commodities and Brazil

Edited by James Quillian, 06 January 2007 - 01:52 PM.


#2 Rogerdodger

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Posted 06 January 2007 - 03:08 PM

MARKETWATCH
Saturday, January 06, 2007 NEW YORK — A sell-off in commodities — from copper to crude oil — during the past few sessions is telling some veteran market watchers that a slowdown in economic growth, likely one of considerable magnitude, is already under way.

In the past three days alone, commodity prices seem to have fallen off a cliff.

Copper,"When it softens, it means we're making fewer homes, offices and computers."

"November 2006 marked the single worst month for for-hire truck tonnage since the last recession,"

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$CDW&p=D&b=3&g=0&i=p26210938173&r=5787.png

#3 kc135a

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Posted 06 January 2007 - 11:57 PM

MARKETWATCH
Saturday, January 06, 2007 NEW YORK — A sell-off in commodities — from copper to crude oil — during the past few sessions is telling some veteran market watchers that a slowdown in economic growth, likely one of considerable magnitude, is already under way.

In the past three days alone, commodity prices seem to have fallen off a cliff.

Copper,"When it softens, it means we're making fewer homes, offices and computers."

"November 2006 marked the single worst month for for-hire truck tonnage since the last recession,"

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$CDW&p=D&b=3&g=0&i=p26210938173&r=5787.png


The below link is to the American Truckers Association. Look at the graph for Truck Tonnage for 2006. Talked to an independent trucker today and he said freight is hard to find. Talked to another friend who plays the markets and he is noting cardboard is down. You know, the stuff we put stuff into to ship it.

http://www.truckline...834A84E2401.htm

If the economy grew last year, then why has truck tonnage droped for the entire year? Even imported goods must be shipped after it clears port of entry. Something is not jiving!

KC