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#1 NAV

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:09 PM

1434. Stop 1440.25

Edited by NAV, 11 January 2007 - 01:09 PM.

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#2 NAV

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:28 PM

Posted Image

ES appears to have completed a nice bear flag. With the 60-min Full Stoch overbought and the CCI ready to break, combined with the intermarket divergences, makes this as good a setup as it gets. The only fly in the ointment for the short side is the strong intraday breadth. That's the reason i am playing with a close stop.

From a e-wave perspective, a nice wave B (Flat ) appears complete today or a bear flag in classic TA terms. Now the market needs to cooperate a bit :D

Edited by NAV, 11 January 2007 - 01:30 PM.

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#3 denleo

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:35 PM

What about NASDAQ. Other than being overbought, it continues to lead the market higher. Doesn't it bother you? Or do you think NASDAQ is topping here? Thanks. Denleo

#4 fib_1618

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:36 PM

The count fits well with the internals, though wave "c" of "B" doesn't look quite complete. What would work well with the internals would be a simple flat which would allow the price pattern to test the 1444 area before finally retreating and finishing up the corrective process. Good Skill Fib

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#5 NAV

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:47 PM

What about NASDAQ. Other than being overbought, it continues to lead the market higher. Doesn't it bother you? Or do you think NASDAQ is topping here? Thanks.

Denleo


Denleo,

I am only looking for a ST correction into ES 1400 area. Nasdaq IMO is giving us a preview of things to come, which is that the IT top has not been seen and after any correction here, the market should charge higher again. There's more pain for shorts to come in the Intermediate term.


The count fits well with the internals, though wave "c" of "B" doesn't look quite complete.

What would work well with the internals would be a simple flat which would allow the price pattern to test the 1444 area before finally retreating and finishing up the corrective process.

Fib


That is quite possible. That will be answered in today's post-lunch session.

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#6 vitaminm

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:54 PM

What about NASDAQ. Other than being overbought, it continues to lead the market higher. Doesn't it bother you? Or do you think NASDAQ is topping here? Thanks.

Denleo



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#7 denleo

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:55 PM

I agree with a long-term bullish case. But in order to sell off short-term (to 1400 or so) I need to see NASDAQ weak or at least not leading higher. Denleo

#8 Cirrus

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 01:59 PM

The bonds are getting hit hard. It could easily bleed over to stocks by the close.