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USA neurological disease death rates exploding

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#1 hhh

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 12:02 PM

Neurological diseases have exploded in the last 25 years, confirmed by epidemiological data. UK epidemiologist Colin Pritchard et al published 2 studies - one in 2015  http://surgicalneuro...alint_articles/neurological-deaths-of-american-adults-55-74-and-the-over-75s-by-sexcompared-with-20-western-countries-1989-2010-cause-for-concern/  and one recently in 2019 https://www.scienced...ce/article/pii/ S0306987719300040  - that showed that deaths due to neurological diseases like Alzheimer's and dementia were skyrocketing in 21 Western countries, with the increases in the United States being particularly acute. The 2015 study found that people were developing dementia a decade earlier compared to 20 years ago (2010 vs. 1990) and that it was becoming regularly diagnosed in people in their late 40s, with death rates from early onset dementia soaring. 

 

https://stopsmartmet...une-15-2019.pdf

 

 



#2 Dex

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 03:49 PM

Neurological diseases have exploded in the last 25 years, confirmed by epidemiological data. UK epidemiologist Colin Pritchard et al published 2 studies - one in 2015  http://surgicalneuro...alint_articles/neurological-deaths-of-american-adults-55-74-and-the-over-75s-by-sexcompared-with-20-western-countries-1989-2010-cause-for-concern/  and one recently in 2019 https://www.scienced...ce/article/pii/ S0306987719300040  - that showed that deaths due to neurological diseases like Alzheimer's and dementia were skyrocketing in 21 Western countries, with the increases in the United States being particularly acute. The 2015 study found that people were developing dementia a decade earlier compared to 20 years ago (2010 vs. 1990) and that it was becoming regularly diagnosed in people in their late 40s, with death rates from early onset dementia soaring. 

 

https://stopsmartmet...une-15-2019.pdf

 

 

Are you surprised?

 

Live longer get more medical issues. 


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#3 hhh

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 03:51 PM

 

Are you surprised?

 

Live longer get more medical issues. 

 

Obviously you didn't read the pdf linked at the bottom:

 

"The pace of increased neurological deaths far exceeds any Gompertzian explanation - that because people are living longer they are more likely to develop more age-related problems such as neurological disease."


Edited by hhh, 18 June 2020 - 03:53 PM.


#4 Dex

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 05:32 PM

 

 

Are you surprised?

 

Live longer get more medical issues. 

 

Obviously you didn't read the pdf linked at the bottom:

 

"The pace of increased neurological deaths far exceeds any Gompertzian explanation - that because people are living longer they are more likely to develop more age-related problems such as neurological disease."

 

 

Maybe the person who wrote it is trying too hard to sound smart and highjacked the name.

 

 Discovered by Benjamin Gompertz, a nineteenth-century actuary the Gompertzian growth curve describes the complex pattern of tumor growth. The curve has an early, almost exponential growth rate followed by slower growth rate which reaches a plateau as tumors grow larger in size.


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#5 hhh

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 06:22 PM

No, it's standard terminology, and precisely conveys the author's intent:

 

The Gompertz [1] model has been in use as a growth model even longer than its better known relative, the logistic model [2]. The model, referred to at the time as the Gompertz theoretical law of mortality, was first suggested and first applied by Mr. Benjamin Gompertz in 1825 [1]. He fitted it to the relationship between increasing death rate and age, what he referred to as “the average exhaustions of a man’s power to avoid death”, or the “portion of his remaining power to oppose destruction”. The insurance industry quickly started to use his method of projecting death risk. However, Gompertz only presented the probability density function.

 

https://journals.plo...l.pone.0178691#

 

Again, as my original post excerpted in plain English: "The 2015 study found that people were developing dementia a decade earlier compared to 20 years ago (2010 vs. 1990) and that it was becoming regularly diagnosed in people in their late 40s, with death rates from early onset dementia soaring."



#6 Dex

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 06:42 PM

No, it's standard terminology, and precisely conveys the author's intent:

 

The Gompertz [1] model has been in use as a growth model even longer than its better known relative, the logistic model [2]. The model, referred to at the time as the Gompertz theoretical law of mortality, was first suggested and first applied by Mr. Benjamin Gompertz in 1825 [1]. He fitted it to the relationship between increasing death rate and age, what he referred to as “the average exhaustions of a man’s power to avoid death”, or the “portion of his remaining power to oppose destruction”. The insurance industry quickly started to use his method of projecting death risk. However, Gompertz only presented the probability density function.

 

https://journals.plo...l.pone.0178691#

 

Again, as my original post excerpted in plain English: "The 2015 study found that people were developing dementia a decade earlier compared to 20 years ago (2010 vs. 1990) and that it was becoming regularly diagnosed in people in their late 40s, with death rates from early onset dementia soaring."

 

There are two things that usually happens with these studies.

 

The definitions of the disease becomes more broad.

 

The testing becomes more sensitive.

 

Both leading to an increase.


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#7 hhh

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 06:44 PM

I don't know your age, but it occurred to me through your protestations via non-sequiturs that you may just be providing ample anecdotal evidence of the author's thesis. I would suggest avoidance of microwave radiation in all its synthetic forms in future.



#8 Dex

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 06:50 PM

I don't know your age, but it occurred to me through your protestations via non-sequiturs that you may just be providing ample anecdotal evidence of the author's thesis. I would suggest avoidance of microwave radiation in all its synthetic forms in future.

Nice, but wrong.


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#9 hhh

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 06:56 PM

Just a coincidence I'm sure that Finland ranks worst in these studies and also ranks highest in the world for cell usage (2016 stats.)



#10 Dex

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 07:02 PM

Just a coincidence I'm sure that Finland ranks worst in these studies and also ranks highest in the world for cell usage (2016 stats.)

Well, the USA lagged a bit with cell phone use.

 

What is not intuitive is that it is #2 now.  

 

Also, older people in the US were late adaptors of cell phones.

 

Back in 1989-1991, USA used to be ranked #17 for neurological deaths in the age 55-74 group and #8 for the age >75 group, but starting in 2010, USA increased to the rank of #2 in both age groups


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