Jump to content



Photo

Hurricanes


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,793 posts

Posted 29 April 2018 - 09:15 AM

The multiple major hurricane strikes of 2017 should be a wakeup call.
 
Disastrous hurricanes have always occurred, and it is only a matter of time before we experience our first $1 Trillion hurricane catastrophe.
 
 
As coastal development and population has skyrocketed in recent decades, our vulnerability of a major metropolis like Miami to a direct hit by another Category 5 hurricane has only increased. 
 
Most people do not realize just how short a period of time that a hurricane-prone area like South Florida has had appreciable population: from only 300 people in 1896 to over 6 million people today in the Miami – Fort Lauderdale area.
 
In 1970  a tropical cyclone struck East Pakistan, killing as many as 500,000 people. These are the kinds of weather disasters that modern technology and prosperity allow us to avoid with satellite monitoring, strong buildings, and seawalls. So, let us not be fooled by our favorite celebrities or pop-science personalities. Major hurricanes have always been, and always will be, a threat to coastal residents and infrastructure, and nothing that we do energy policy-wise is going to change that fact.
 
 
 
 
 
 

--

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper. - George Orwell


#2 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,793 posts

Posted 30 April 2018 - 03:50 PM

The 1900s started off with the greatest natural disaster in the history of the United States when the Great Galveston Hurricane killed an estimated 6,000 to 12,000 people on September 8, 1900.  With winds estimated at 130 to 140 mph and a 15 foot storm surge, the tempest virtually wiped out the city, with 3,600 buildings destroyed.
 
The 21 year period from 1941 to 1961 was particularly active for landfalling major hurricanes with nearly one per year on average. Then the 1980s were fairly inactive, averaging one every two years.  A large upswing in activity occurred when a total of seven major hurricanes were experienced in 2004 and 2005, but then nearly 12 years passed before major Hurricane Harvey hit Houston in 2017. That most recent major hurricane ‘drought’ is believed to be something that happens only once every 250 to 300 years.
 
 
 
 
 
 

--

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper. - George Orwell


#3 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,793 posts

Posted 01 May 2018 - 07:59 PM

The processes that allow a minor hurricane to strengthen into a major hurricane are not well understood and, as a result, predictions of intensification are not very good. 

 
Hurricane Irma in 2017 became a major hurricane in the central Atlantic over only modestly warm water temperatures.
 
Irma’s unusually low wind shear (a change in wind speed or direction with height) allowed the atmosphere close to it's rain showers to warm and a strong low pressure to develop.  Unusually warm sea surface temperatures were not present as Irma became a major Category 3 hurricane, long before it reached the warmest sea surface temperatures around the Bahamas, northern Caribbean islands, and the Straits of Florida.
 
In fact, the Gulf of Mexico and area around the Bahamas are warm enough every summer to support a catastrophic hurricane. That such hurricanes almost never develop is not due to a lack of warm surface waters. It is more often the result of too much wind shear, or the absence of a preexisting cyclonic circulation in the lower atmosphere to kick-start cyclone formation.
 
 

 

 

 

https://www.amazon.c...esastre spencer


--

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper. - George Orwell


#4 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,793 posts

Posted 29 May 2018 - 08:51 AM

Dennis Feltgen, a National Hurricane Center spokesman, said 2017 got everyone’s attention. Will 2018 be another destructive year?
 
His reply: “You have six months to get ready. Use your time wisely.” 
 
 
The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) for an entire season is the sum of all the named storms combined. Seasons with ACE totals of 153 or more are considered hyperactive. 
 
The 2017 season produced the seventh highest ACE total, dating back 166 years. With an ACE total of 223.12, this season was about double the intensity of the normal season median of 110.5.
The most active hurricane season on record was 1933 (ACE value: 258.57.) There have been only nine seasons with ACE values of more than 200. The other eight:
 
2005 (250.13); 1897 (231.15); 1926 (229.56); 1995 (227.103); 2004 (226.88); 2017 (223.12); 1950 (211.283) and 1961 (205.40). 
 
 
 
 

--

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper. - George Orwell


#5 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,793 posts

Posted 09 June 2018 - 11:31 AM

Only 3 Category-5 hurricanes have ever hit the U.S. 

 

The only Category 5 hurricanes to hit the U.S. are:

 

Andrew in 1992,

Camille in 1969

Labor Day unnamed storm in 1935. 

 

 

 

 

https://www.usatoday...-u-s/633616001/

 


--

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper. - George Orwell