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Is Gold Going to Break Above $1,000 This Month?


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#1 inamosa

inamosa

    Patterns-based Trader and Investor in ETFs and Futures

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Posted 01 August 2009 - 07:54 PM

I've attached two charts

As long as we continue to close above $900, I see no reason to be bearish (this is an important caveat)

Seasonals suggest a breakout above $1K will either occur this month or in November

In the meantime, gold is just taking its time


The US Dollar Index's bounce which is likely to occur in the early part of this month will be marginal, and am not expecting it to exceed 81.5-82 on any bounce (if it does, obviously I was wrong)

New lows are ahead, therefore, for the Dollar Index, and yearly highs are ahead for the Euro, and commodities look quite bullish for the coming weeks ( http://www.traders-t...howtopic=109410 )

Such an environment is ideal for the yellow metal to prosper or at least meander (as it tends to do before big moves higher)

Attached Thumbnails

  • 8_1_2009___Gold_Seasonals.png
  • 8_1_2009___GOLD.png

"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months