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On the Energy Gap and Climate Crisis


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#1 maineman

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Posted 08 April 2010 - 06:59 AM

From the article:

April 7, 2010, 10:33 pm

On the Energy Gap and Climate Crisis
By ANDREW C. REVKIN

It's worth beginning Dot Earth's new iteration with a few straightforward points about humans and their planet that I feel are powerfully established. Below, I start with several thoughts on energy and climate. In coming days, along with a regular flow of news-driven posts, I'll add similar foundation-building pieces on relations between people and Earth's other inhabitants and on ways to mesh humanity's infinite aspirations with life on a finite planet.

1) Energy matters. Energy can produce bountiful supplies of drinking water. Energy enables food production, storage and dispersal. Energy enables mobility, connectedness, health and comfort. The late Nobelist in chemistry, Richard Smalley, devoted the last years of his life to delivering an admirable distillation of the benefits of abundant energy, and need for an energy quest.

2) Even with spreading efforts to conserve energy, a world heading toward roughly 9 billion people seeking decent lives will require far more of this resource than today's supplies and systems can provide. There is already an enormous energy gap on the planet, with some 2 billion people lacking the simple gift of illumination or a clean source of heat for cooking meals.

3) If countries like China and India follow the American pattern in transportation, ballooning demand for oil is bound to be a disruptive influence on world affairs with or without the climate impact of all those additional emissions of greenhouse gases. Think of it this way; the United States, with 307 million ( heading toward 400 million) people, now consumes nearly 20 million barrels a day; India, with more than 1.1 billion people, is barely in first gear, currently using 2.67 million barrels of oil but poised for vastly increased demand. Add in projections of car use in China and you see why status-quo fuel choices don't hold up.


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#2 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 08 April 2010 - 09:15 AM

Andrew figured in the ClimateGate emails as a AGW golden boy, but I think he may be still an honest player. Alas, he's wrong. Words have meaning. Science is science. I see no hard evidence of a "Climate Crisis". If we are warming, it's good. If man is behind it, there's no evidence of such, beyond localized or trivial effects. Will we experience huge surges in demand for energy? Probably. The market is telling us, not too much and not too soon. Do you believe the market or some statist with an axe to grind and a pocket to line? Why don't we just let the market do its thing? It's what delivered untold and unimagined wealth to this nation. Why not leave with the girl wut brung us? M

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#3 stocks

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Posted 06 May 2010 - 09:31 AM

Andy Revkin:
“Is most of the observed warming over the last 50 years likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations”?


Roger Pielke:
NO.


We now know, however, that the natural variations of atmospheric and ocean circulation features within the climate system produces global average heat changes that are substantially larger than what was known in 2005. The IPCC models have failed to adequately simulate this effect.

The answer to Andy’s question from 2005 is an even more clearly No. That is a signficant fraction of the observed warming over the last 50 years is NOT due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations”?


http://pielkeclimate...010...tions”/

Edited by stocks, 06 May 2010 - 09:35 AM.

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