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#1 SilentOne

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Posted 30 August 2010 - 12:00 PM

I've stop playing natgas itself a while ago. A losing proposition for 2 years now. But there have been some very nice swing trades on gas stocks like ECA. One is setting up right now.

I'm long and playing an approximate 20 week swing cycle. Shoulder season is starting which compounds volatility. Gas seasonas only really start late Sept. Looking at this chart, I'm not sure I am going to see a better entry than last week.

cheers,

johnPosted Image

Edited by SilentOne, 30 August 2010 - 12:01 PM.

"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#2 johngeorge

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Posted 05 September 2010 - 02:48 PM

I've stop playing natgas itself a while ago. A losing proposition for 2 years now. But there have been some very nice swing trades on gas stocks like ECA. One is setting up right now.

I'm long and playing an approximate 20 week swing cycle. Shoulder season is starting which compounds volatility. Gas seasonas only really start late Sept. Looking at this chart, I'm not sure I am going to see a better entry than last week.

cheers,

johnPosted Image


I started too early with nat gas this year and am underwater in GAZ and PMGYF. Howsoever, it looks to me like we had a nice turnaround day on Friday and will be looking to add to my positions next week. And, yes IMO, nat gas is in it's best seasonals now.

Thanks for the great chart!

Best to you. :)
Peace
johngeorge

#3 dougie

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Posted 05 September 2010 - 03:48 PM

some say NG is dead money now except for bounces: too much capacity and easy to bring online: what says you to the funnymentals?

#4 SilentOne

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Posted 05 September 2010 - 03:54 PM

some say NG is dead money now except for bounces: too much capacity and easy to bring online: what says you to the funnymentals?


dougie,

I'm not sure the fundamentals will be good for natgas for some time. But I am simply trying to trade a swing in this stock. Natgas is sporting with its 2 year lows again. Gotta give it a try.

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#5 diogenes227

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Posted 05 September 2010 - 03:57 PM

There are so many other fish to fry... :headspin:

"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#6 SilentOne

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Posted 05 September 2010 - 10:25 PM

There are so many other fish to fry...

:headspin:


This is for our conservative accounts ...

One has to divide up assets into different buckets IMO, especially when we are talking big numers. B)

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#7 SilentOne

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Posted 15 September 2010 - 12:18 PM

I've stop playing natgas itself a while ago. A losing proposition for 2 years now. But there have been some very nice swing trades on gas stocks like ECA. One is setting up right now.

I'm long and playing an approximate 20 week swing cycle. Shoulder season is starting which compounds volatility. Gas seasonas only really start late Sept. Looking at this chart, I'm not sure I am going to see a better entry than last week.

cheers,

johnPosted Image


Stopped out from this trade. Stops tightened and exit at $29.75 Cdn yesterday. ECA remains within a downtrend channel and fails to show anything bullish.

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#8 diogenes227

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Posted 15 September 2010 - 12:24 PM

I guess this will be a real of test of the concept of support becoming resistance. :o

http://stockcharts.c...4000&r=2799.PNG

"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#9 SilentOne

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Posted 16 September 2010 - 10:45 AM

hi diogenes227,

Nothing bullish here. I know that oil has to make an important bottom late this year (as well as stocks), so I imagine energy issues are not going to attract many buyers. ECA is still in a downtrend when viewing the channel and weekly indicators.

cheers,

john

Posted Image
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain