Jump to content



Photo

Good News lol! Gold reversal


  • Please log in to reply
15 replies to this topic

#1 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,375 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 11:14 AM

Silver went lower but Gold did not, rally time now!

http://www.investing...ommodities/gold

Edited by Russ, 20 May 2013 - 11:18 AM.

"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

#2 wxman

wxman

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 139 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 12:11 PM

I've been following Nichols' 21-month gold cycle

http://www.fractalgo...ticle.php?id=12

http://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$...amp;a=181128327

Ed Carlson thinks that this 21 month cycle is a low, which looks reasonable (in this time frame)

http://www.traderpla...low-in-may-gld/
also Lindsay's count from the middle section

http://www.traderpla...ay-part-ii-gld/
-----------------------------------

Silver went lower but Gold did not, rally time now!

http://www.investing...ommodities/gold



#3 senorBS

senorBS

    Member

  • TT Member+
  • 11,220 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 12:11 PM

the lack of any excitement here IMO is stunning and telling. I think this could be a lot bigger low than anyone thinks and that includes me. That said stops raised in all longs. BSing away Senor

#4 gvc

gvc

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 411 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 12:34 PM

interesting that front month silver stopped 21.01 which just happens to be .62 retracement of the rally from 1990 to 2011 which was 3.51 low to 49.82 high.

#5 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,375 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 01:10 PM

Thanks for all that wxman, interesting that the number 21 is so important, which I have heard other analysts make reference to as an important number for a variety of cycles and indicators.


I've been following Nichols' 21-month gold cycle

http://www.fractalgo...ticle.php?id=12

http://www.stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$...amp;a=181128327

Ed Carlson thinks that this 21 month cycle is a low, which looks reasonable (in this time frame)

http://www.traderpla...low-in-may-gld/
also Lindsay's count from the middle section

http://www.traderpla...ay-part-ii-gld/
-----------------------------------

Silver went lower but Gold did not, rally time now!

http://www.investing...ommodities/gold


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

#6 senorBS

senorBS

    Member

  • TT Member+
  • 11,220 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 05:33 PM

interesting that front month silver stopped 21.01 which just happens to be .62 retracement of the rally from 1990 to 2011 which was 3.51 low to 49.82 high.


I have the low at 20.25 and saw another quote source have it at 20.05, it did not stay there long but I was watching it trade there. It matters little as today's rally may muy bueno

Senor

#7 gvc

gvc

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 411 posts

Posted 20 May 2013 - 08:20 PM

interesting that front month silver stopped 21.01 which just happens to be .62 retracement of the rally from 1990 to 2011 which was 3.51 low to 49.82 high.


I have the low at 20.25 and saw another quote source have it at 20.05, it did not stay there long but I was watching it trade there. It matters little as today's rally may muy bueno

Senor


Yes..saw that for July silver, but i thought may silver bottomed at 21.01. Like u said..really doesnt matter much at this point

#8 gameover

gameover

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 846 posts

Posted 21 May 2013 - 08:24 AM

gold bounce yesterday was for suckers the TOP in metals has been in for a long time just like the early 80's, top in and DOWN

#9 risk_management

risk_management

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,772 posts

Posted 21 May 2013 - 09:58 AM

gold bounce yesterday was for suckers

the TOP in metals has been in for a long time

just like the early 80's, top in and DOWN


I love it how some people see the future so clearly. I don't know if the top in metals is long term or not. Nor do I care. But what happened yesterday looks to me like a textbook pivot reversal (GDX). This morning sell of looks to me like a typical scare that is supposed to shake off that last hope. And the volume was running a bit low (GDX). I think short term odds, and those are the only odds I care, are in favor or longs. Considering miners action last 6 months and common sense comparison between them and some other asset classes would make sense for some rotation at this juncture. BWTFDIK

#10 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,375 posts

Posted 21 May 2013 - 10:23 AM

George Soros is reported to have bought a large amount of Gold stock call opitions, bwtfdhk??




I love it how some people see the future so clearly. I don't know if the top in metals is long term or not. Nor do I care. But what happened yesterday looks to me like a textbook pivot reversal (GDX). This morning sell of looks to me like a typical scare that is supposed to shake off that last hope. And the volume was running a bit low (GDX). I think short term odds, and those are the only odds I care, are in favor or longs. Considering miners action last 6 months and common sense comparison between them and some other asset classes would make sense for some rotation at this juncture. BWTFDIK


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/