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#1 SilentOne

SilentOne

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Posted 16 June 2004 - 01:18 PM

The Euro is giving me pause at the moment. It sits on a 3 year tredline right now, and looks like it is sporting a multi-week bear flag.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SharpChartv05.ServletDriver?chart=$xeu,uu[l,a]daclyyay[df][pb50!b200][vc60][iub14!la12,26,9]&r=7688.gif

Technicals are rolling over and do not seem to be inspiring a bounce from here.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SharpChartv05.ServletDriver?chart=$GOLD,uu[p,a]whclyyay[d19940303,20041231][pb50!b200][vc60][iuv25!uk14!ua5,34,5!up14,3,3][J26818710,Y].gif

Again weekly techncials are not great for gold at this time.

And as I pointed out during the chat, the XAU technicals are near all-time lows on daily and weekly. That does not indicate 4th wave action, as it should be higher than this. I'm thinking wave 2 correction of the bull, and if so, it could take a little more time.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SharpChartv05.ServletDriver?chart=$xau,uu[l,a]waclyyay[df][pb50!b200][vc60][iub14!la12,26,9]&r=8298.gif

It is very unlikely that this is a 4th wave. It is something else IMO. I'm bullish LT, just not sure what is going on right now.

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain