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Market Sentiment Alerts 2/2/5


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#1 TTHQ Staff

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Posted 02 February 2005 - 12:33 PM


Market Sentiment alerts
Tuesday, February 1st, 2005

1) At the Close of Today, our Dollar-weighted Put/Call Ratios ($wPCR) for Broad-basedMarket Indices (where very high $wPCR readings are BULLISH) and Narrow-based SectorIndices (where very low $wPCR readings are BULLISH) were:

Symbol Name $wPCR Signal Chart Reference
SPX S&P-500 1.59 BEARISH $wPCR Chart
NDX NASDAQ-100 0.46 BEARISH $wPCR Chart
BBH BioTech HOLDRS 0.58 Mildly BULLISH $wPCR Chart
SMH Semiconductor HOLDRS 0.76 NEUTRAL $wPCR Chart
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR 0.58 Mildly BULLISH $wPCR Chart
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR 0.15 BULLISH No $wPCR Chart

2) At the Close of Today, our Dollar-weighted Put/Call Ratio ($wPCR) Engine picked thefollowing stocks as good SHORT candidates due to their BEARISH (very high $w P/CRatio) reading:

Symbol Name $wPCR Chart Reference
SWY Safeway, Inc. 94.0 $wPCR Chart
ABGX Abgenix 20.1 $wPCR Chart
F Ford Motor Company 4.65 $wPCR Chart

3) And, our Dollar-weighted Put/Call Ratio Engine picked the following stocks as goodLONG candidates due to their BULLISH (very low $w P/C Ratio) reading:

Symbol Name $wPCR Chart Reference
WFC Wells Fargo & Co. 0.01 $wPCR Chart
DOW Dow Chemical 0.04 $wPCR Chart
PMCS PMC-Sierra 0.05 $wPCR Chart

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Please note that dollar-weighted put/call ratio's forward-looking window is from one tothree trading days from the signal day (why? in a capsule form, it has to do the pressurethe options market makers are under to stay delta neutral while dealing with the 3-daystock settlement rule). Once you are in the trade, you should monitor the up-to-datedollar-weighted put/call ratio reading as confirmation of the trade's direction; or, incase of reversal of the dollar-weighted put/call ratio reading, as an exit signal.

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