SKI Alert
2/23/05
It’s late, so I’ll be brief. Monday’s rise took us right into the
35-39 AND 92-96 index back price resistance levels. If prices had
declined just 3 cents in USERX on Tuesday, the signals described below
would have been avoided. If prices today had risen 5 cents, we’d have
had a true SKI bull market. Neither happened.
Instead I’ve got an extremely bullish 35-39 index buy signal for
tomorrow (Wednesday). If prices do not drop 18 cents (+2%) tomorrow,
that buy signal will be followed the next day by a 92-96 index buy
signal. THAT SPELLS POWERFUL DOUBLE BUY. Yes, it is XXed Out and yes,
it is not a true bull (ala the late 1970s), and yes, we once again just
missed a true SKI bull by a freaking day. It says “Powerful rise
followed by another of these tough declines”, but the decline should be
months ahead of us after new highs (above the highs of this century).
The 218-222 index broke towards its buy today and it will buy in a few
days if prices stay over the triple sell area of 7.97.
It’s a double buy folks and it’s coming at a high price. Tough to
buy,
but the indices say buy and close your eyes. The stop (a 92-96 index
sell) is rising but really doesn’t move up for a month. It is always
possible that these signals mark a high, but that is not supposed to
the
case. The one time that they marked a high was in 1987, they hit the
high to the day and the great crash ensued (This has to be Prechter’s
bearish scenario).
That 16-20 index buy signal two weeks ago (scenario #1) was supposed
to
mark a major low and augur for a positive year, to be followed by a big
buy signal. This is supposed to be that big buy signal. I cannot be
sure that the market won’t drop to support back at 7.97 and that I’ll
be
in extreme distress, but the indices are buying. So will I. A 92-96
index sell signal is, heaven forbid, the stop. And with my colleague
buying too, this is either the exact top or we’re in for at least a 21%
profit. If this is not the top, the triple sell from 222 days ago is
history. This is big time stuff, volcanic
For those who "SKI"
Started by
no_mind
, Feb 24 2005 04:11 AM
2 replies to this topic
#2
Posted 24 February 2005 - 04:28 AM
I'm assuming with the holiday and the fact that he wrote the above late at night that when he says "Monday's rise" he means Tuesday's and when he says Tuesday he means Wednesday and when he says Wednesday he means Thursday.
Tom
#3
Posted 24 February 2005 - 08:53 AM
I'm on his side as posted last Sat. and still am although not near as bullish, just a good run for a few days.
mss
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