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Can the XAU and HUI Break Out??


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#1 SilentOne

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 07:44 AM

OK, I got out my crayons. I don't have any fancy trading software, so here goes.

Every time the gold indices launched a major run since 2001, silver did something technically significant. We are about to see the same thing occur again.

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Silver is set to outperform gold here and is on the verge of breaking out. Don't be fooled by gold's action and LT resistance coming in here at $500-525 for the yellow metal. It is silver one has to watch for confirmation.

cheers,

john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#2 wxman

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 03:31 PM

[quote name='SilentOne' date='Oct 11 2005, 08:44 AM']
OK, I got out my crayons. I don't have any fancy trading software, so here goes.



Very nice display, Silent One
I'm expecting silver to outperfrom as well, especially MGN
http://tinyurl.com/933r4

#3 SilentOne

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 04:06 PM

Hi wxman, I own MGN too. Could have done better than Monday's entry (since I was in/out last week as well). Then again any decent pullbacks and I will try to add more. cheers, john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#4 Chart Guru Doug

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 04:11 PM

Agreed silver seems to be moving nicely. Do you know which stocks will outpreform with a silver rally? tia
I am not your registered investment advisor. This is not a recomendation to buy or sell. This is my opinion and that is all. I may be long or short any security and change my position at any given moment in time. Do your own due diligence before investing any of your own financial assets.

#5 SilentOne

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 04:23 PM

On the top of my list are MGN, CDE and WTZ. Volume is stacking recently in all three, especially MGN. CDE will be the Jim Cramer momo one day (I can't believe he was saying to short it recently) and WTZ is a later stage rally play, but I don't think the entry will be much better than here. For juniors I like EDR.V I am long and will hold CDE, MGN and EDR tightly now. cheers, john

Edited by SilentOne, 11 October 2005 - 04:24 PM.

"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain

#6 Chart Guru Doug

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 04:40 PM

On the top of my list are MGN, CDE and WTZ. Volume is stacking recently in all three, especially MGN. CDE will be the Jim Cramer momo one day (I can't believe he was saying to short it recently) and WTZ is a later stage rally play, but I don't think the entry will be much better than here.

For juniors I like EDR.V

I am long and will hold CDE, MGN and EDR tightly now.

cheers,

john

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Thanks John
WTZ does look like its coming on nicely....
I am not your registered investment advisor. This is not a recomendation to buy or sell. This is my opinion and that is all. I may be long or short any security and change my position at any given moment in time. Do your own due diligence before investing any of your own financial assets.

#7 dougie

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 05:35 PM

well Hoye amongst others thinks silver underperforms if liquidity crisis is brewing....

#8 PorkLoin

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Posted 11 October 2005 - 09:30 PM

LOVE IT -- let me add a couple:

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Obviously, Silver is into some serious resistance, but it's trying, and the weekly MACD momentum is looking bullish right here.

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Going well back into 2003 there was a nice lower trendline with the market touching it quite a few times. Got a little weaker this year, but now we're back above the line. Looks more bullish than bearish, on balance, to me. Might be making a big triangle from March 2004 which would allow for another punch down, but there ought to be at least a $3 thrust higher afterwards, even then.

Best,

Doug