Since its recovery-rally high at 101 last Thursday, Apple Inc. (AAPL) has given back about 40% of the entire up move off of the 91.50 low on June 27.
Key support resides between 97.00 and 95.50 intraday, however, with earnings due for release after tonight's close, my sense is that AAPL risk from either side of current levels around 97.00 is 5% to 6%, or 101-103 on the high side to 93.00- 91.50 on the low side in reaction to tonight's news.
A spike that takes out the upper end of the range will confirm the completion of an April-July base-like pattern, while a break beneath 93.00-91.50 will point towards a full-fledged retest of the May low at 89.00.
Mike Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking. Sign up for a Free 15-day Trial!