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GS is forecasting Euro to 80 cts at least until 2020


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#11 SemiBizz

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 09:19 AM

As I recall Goldman was calling for 200 dollar oil at the top. I am always
skeptical of their calls and allow for the possibility that they are
intentionally upside down. we may get those numbers, but the dollar chart looks
to me to be ready to correct. There has never been a lengthy consolidation after
a parabolic rise on the monthly chart that was not followed by a major
correction. any thoughts on that semi?



Yep, that $200 Oil call was made by the commodity trading department, this is their global investment research department.

US$ is poised for a huge breakout...

I see 1.08 coming on the US$ Index.

As far as a consolidation, we made the last high in March, this is November, that's plenty of consolidation time.

You can say it's shallow if you like, that's even more bullish.

Edited by SemiBizz, 24 November 2015 - 09:23 AM.

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#12 clueless

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 09:56 AM

As I recall Goldman was calling for 200 dollar oil at the top. I am always
skeptical of their calls and allow for the possibility that they are
intentionally upside down. we may get those numbers, but the dollar chart looks
to me to be ready to correct. There has never been a lengthy consolidation after
a parabolic rise on the monthly chart that was not followed by a major
correction. any thoughts on that semi?



Yep, that $200 Oil call was made by the commodity trading department, this is their global investment research department.

US$ is poised for a huge breakout...

I see 1.08 coming on the US$ Index.

As far as a consolidation, we made the last high in March, this is November, that's plenty of consolidation time.

You can say it's shallow if you like, that's even more bullish.

gracias

#13 risk_management

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 10:24 AM

They've left out precious metals out of that forecast. If this comes to fruition, implications for miners and metals are just brutal.

#14 SemiBizz

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 10:32 AM

They've left out precious metals out of that forecast. If this comes to fruition, implications for miners and metals are just brutal.



That was probably intentional... I noticed as well.

What's brutal is the .618R on the gold contract.

We already had 100% + retracement on the XAU...

Why would anyone be surprised when gold goes well under $1000?

After all, as the gold bugs used to say when the miners were going higher, the stocks lead the commodity...

:D
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#15 tria

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 11:15 AM

I think they are underestimating grains.

Grains, coffee should/could be the darlings of 2016 imo.
Have noticed grains more often than not rally during US pre-election years. Don't know why.
The stoned oracle of Delphi concurs...

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#16 NAV

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Posted 24 November 2015 - 11:46 AM

:o :zipped:

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Thanks for the link.

I remember your long-standing target for the EURO in the .80 area.

"It's not the knowing that is difficult, but the doing"

 

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#17 dougie

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Posted 25 November 2015 - 01:57 AM

Japan rates going that high is a world of hurt for Japan !

:o :zipped:

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I thought this would have generated more comment.

Is it that people are in denial or don't believe these numbers?

They make perfect sense to me, especially given the European "Problem"

I advise everyone to let these numbers sink in, and then think about the consequences.

They are going to be huge.

:o