Jump to content



Photo

Bear Market Low-type Reading


  • Please log in to reply
17 replies to this topic

#1 OEXCHAOS

OEXCHAOS

    Mark S. Young

  • Admin
  • 22,036 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:01 PM

I was pretty Bearish about the next few weeks, but now I have to be open to the low actually being in or about in.

 

Look at the SH asset flows. This is the third largest one-day shift, if I'm not mistaken.

 

1-day $307,414,  7-day $287,153,  21-day $683,928  
 

 

SH002-01-16.gif

 

Mark


Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:
http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
You can now follow me on twitter


#2 jmicou

jmicou

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,749 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:10 PM

I was pretty Bearish about the next few weeks, but now I have to be open to the low actually being in or about in.
 
Look at the SH asset flows. This is the third largest one-day shift, if I'm not mistaken.
 
1-day $307,414,  7-day $287,153,  21-day $683,928  
 
 
attachicon.gifSH002-01-16.gif
 
Mark

Interesting.

Thank you for posting it.

#3 Ticker

Ticker

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 254 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:13 PM

That is a concerning development for bears.  Mutual fund outflows in December were also very high which is uncommon at the start of a bear market as well.  What do you think about the VIX being relatively low for a bear market bottom Mark?



#4 OEXCHAOS

OEXCHAOS

    Mark S. Young

  • Admin
  • 22,036 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:19 PM

The relative VIX got up there into Buy territory.

 

I was hoping for more, but it was adequate.

 

My best guess is that we have some volatility over the next few days that spikes the VIX and helps to mark a low. 

 

Mark


Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:
http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
You can now follow me on twitter


#5 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:19 PM

Nope... my best indicator says the lows are not in...

 

GS is DOWN 9 here at NEW LOWS.... that's NEW 2016 LOWS.....

 

DOWN WE GO

 

DB is the lead anchor.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#6 andr99

andr99

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,454 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:42 PM


DOWN WE GO

 

 

 

...but maybe we need first to complete the bounce started on jan 20 which doesn' t seem over, imo. It might be that we're close to a short term bottom leading us some points higher before the downtrend resumes. My personal opinion and my personal two cents' contribution 


forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard


#7 iloli way

iloli way

    iloli = I'm Laws Of Line's I(eye)

  • TT Member*
  • 4,028 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:45 PM

Nope... my best indicator says the lows are not in...

 

GS is DOWN 9 here at NEW LOWS.... that's NEW 2016 LOWS.....

 

DOWN WE GO

 

DB is the lead anchor.

 

Good call as always Semi, hope you are not right about rats as you saw them jumped in 07,08, that would be another BIG SHORT to make a fortune again!

 

...but, at the moment not too bearish yet unless it BD the low TL, we could be still in at the 'bottom is in' and bkx to launch another run-up inside the channel after it touched that TL.

 

Too perfecto, I know.

 

bkxwk.PNGbkx.PNG


PRICE IS KING; LINE RULES! - Laws Of Line (LOL) Trading Systems
Swing Those Lines: I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people! -- Issac Newton

#8 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:56 PM

BKX will go to that last low around 43...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#9 pisces

pisces

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,179 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 02:59 PM

Nope... my best indicator says the lows are not in...

 

GS is DOWN 9 here at NEW LOWS.... that's NEW 2016 LOWS.....

 

DOWN WE GO

 

DB is the lead anchor.

 

Semi , I just got a target of 144 -+ for GS...FWIW



#10 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 02 February 2016 - 03:12 PM

Nasdaq just gave up ALL THE GAINS from the BANZAI NEGATIVE RATE Tactics...

 

Under Thursday's Close....

 

SPX following right behind.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics