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short term outlook

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#1 barbu

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Posted 01 May 2016 - 02:42 PM

On February 11, gold price breaking 1252.5 upward,  this action confirmed 1046.3 is a middle term bottom (chart 3).

 

Gold prices pulled back in late March  (1208.3) and  in mid-April (1223.8) (Post 1, chart 2); Through March’s and April’s pullback that established the bullish trend. The next obvious target is 1306 (1306.1-1316-1329.1). However, after a period of accelerated move in recent days, A new consolidation is the likely outcome (reason shown in chart 1, tolerance +/-), the up-tick movement may end any date next week.  medium-term and long-term is bullish. short term support 1271/1269, 1246 1230 +/-

 

The Trend Is Your Friend Till It Isn't (Post 2, 3, 4, 5)

 

Congratulations. If you'd bought gold & GDX just-in-time,

NUGT 119 Wow!

 

 

chart (1) http://www.chartuplo...01620081579.jpg

59819398501620081579.jpg

 

chart (2) http://forexrainbow.com/images/19373392535706200156.jpg

19373392535706200156.jpg

 

chart (3): http://forexrainbow.com/images/92406002051395496137.jpg

92406002051395496137.jpg

 

 

(1)  09 March 2016 - 01:15 PM http://www.traders-t...e-2#entry742959

Two possible low dates, one in middle March, the other in middle April, if the former one is lower than the latter that gives a positive middle term outlook.

 

 

(2) 07 March 2016 - 01:49 PM http://www.traders-t...e-2#entry742868

the target is 1316 +/-, exceeds the prior high 1306.1,  a critical requirement for middle term bullishness (to see 1407). While, a pullback may be imminent, the overall setup is bullish.

http://www.chartuplo...84713483030.jpg

99073596884713483030.jpg

 

(3) Posted 07 January 2016 - 07:28 PM  http://www.traders-t...e-2#entry738322

 

- The Zone 1  from 1077.5 (low in July 2015)  to 1044.8 ( Low in February 2010)  is still holding the ground.

- imho: A weekly closes above prior two Lows (1098.8, 1104.7) will confirm short term bullish signal.

http://www.chartuplo...96323881616.jpg

41831137696323881616.jpg

 

 

 

(4)  26 December 2015 - 12:12 AM http://www.traders-t...e-2#entry737737

Gold is holding the key support

GDX marked a higher low (12.92, 14.86, 13.30 ), early birds ?

http://forexrainbow....23000392801.jpg

23211456223000392801.jpg

 

 

(5) 01 December 2015 - 05:34 PM  http://www.traders-t...-2/#entry736358

- GDX recent high 17.04 (10/15), recent low 12.92 (11/18),

- imho: the gauge for an early entry is 13.89@0.236. a proper Stop is required

- Gold: not yet, (1084.21@0.236, 1191.4-1051.1)


Edited by barbu, 01 May 2016 - 02:47 PM.


#2 dougie

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Posted 02 May 2016 - 12:13 AM

Fantastic barbu
You say the reason is in chart one: is that related to the length of the triangle?

#3 barbu

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Posted 02 May 2016 - 08:16 AM

Fantastic barbu
You say the reason is in chart one: is that related to the length of the triangle?

The length of the time from a trailing Low to High looks to me is cyclic, it may recur again. Let's see.