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Douglas Trading System

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#1 Douglas



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Posted 18 November 2017 - 01:42 PM

The risk cycle system missed the Wednesday the 15th low.  There were only three risk cycle turns that day, the lowest of any day for several weeks.  This torqued me so much that I went back and looked at similar major risk cycle lows in my database and was amazed to find several important market lows tagged.  I'll be danged if I can explain it, but it certainly looks like very low risk may be just as important as high risk.  I clearly need to do a re-think on the signals.  More on this later.


The jury is still out as to whether the Friday the 17th risk window will amount to anything.  The strong breadth on Friday despite a down day would appear to indicate a minor low occurred, but that's just a guess.  Monday the 20th will tell the tale.


This coming week the days with largest number of risk cycle turns are Tuesday the 21st and Friday the 24th (no days have extremely low values). 


The main system was whipsawed this week and ended the week long RYDHX.