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Chances are the market plops...now...


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#1 diogenes227

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 12:13 AM

From the link:

 

 

I was going to write a detailed analysis of why I think the general market (SPY, QQQ) takes at least a dip Thursday but I’m kind of tired.

 

So suffice it to say, the Nasdaq Composite is up seven days in a row, and SPY, except for a brief pause a few days ago, the same. My Nifty-50 stocks have gone from 40 on sells at the beginning of the rally up to 41 on buys Monday and are now rolling over. A lot of the stocks have been sluggish since that peak three days ago.

 

There is more and a chart:

 

SWING TRADING


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#2 slupert

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 09:15 AM

Thanks, always appreciate your input.



#3 SemiBizz

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 09:22 AM

So... Triple Top RUT at 1708 is in PROXIMITY -  odds for test.

 

SPX also in PROXIMITY of ALL TIME HIGH at 2872 - odds for test.

 

New Moon/Solar Eclipse 8/11

 

Cycles are right-translated, still BULLISH.

 

NR7s on indices a couple days back, so a WIDE RANGE DAY is in the forecast...

 

I hope you haven't run out of popcorn...

 

lighten.gif


Edited by SemiBizz, 09 August 2018 - 09:25 AM.

Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

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#4 K Wave

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 09:47 AM

Took a quick 20 on the upside on NQ this AM, but at this point I refuse to be long above 7500.

 

Any move back below 182 on QQQ, and I will start aggressively shorting....getting into dangerous time of year, and this thing acting tired up here...

 

VIX may give first clues of reversal....

 

IF bears unable to reverse it today, then bulls may have more juice left....that huge battle zone around 7475 on NQ over last couple days looks very key now.

 

Sitting on my hands for now....


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#5 slupert

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 09:49 AM

http://schrts.co/yfR1pj



#6 SemiBizz

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 09:52 AM

So I keep a "Trump Rally" channel markup on my Nasdaq chart...

 

There's one more thing going on here...

 

This is the third try to break north of the LOWER UPTREND LINE originally broken in February

 

The potential of all time highs to the upside is enormous if it break over that LUL and hold...

 

But if it breaks down... finally... it goes under 7000.... 7920ish here... ALL TIME HIGH 7938.


Edited by SemiBizz, 09 August 2018 - 09:52 AM.

Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#7 SemiBizz

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 10:06 AM

Here's the chart:

(looks more like 4th try)

If you look closely you will see a thin red line marking the target under 7000  zipped.gif

 

5b6c583815e37_nas080918d2trumprallylower


Edited by SemiBizz, 09 August 2018 - 10:08 AM.

Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#8 diogenes227

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 12:10 PM

Up. Down. Sideways. Sideways, Sideways. Ten minutes at a time.

 


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#9 SemiBizz

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 01:20 PM

And the resolution of that activity... UP...

 

So the bar has to be set high now to believe any pullback...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#10 libertas

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Posted 09 August 2018 - 01:37 PM

All is under the control of the vol sellers whose shorts are now at a 2018 high. Risk parity funds take their cue from them and buy FAANG.