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Natural Gas - Bargain or Trash?


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#1 inamosa

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Posted 07 April 2009 - 09:09 PM

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$NATGAS:$GOLD&p=W&st=1989-03-20&i=p75231016284&a=164187410&r=63.png

NG priced in different ways
"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months

#2 Kimston

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Posted 07 April 2009 - 11:47 PM

My work still says nat gas is going to 3. I have multiple time squares looking for a turn in NG somewhere around 4/30 to 5/3 area. If it's making lows around 3 in that time-frame I'll buy a load. Regardless, it should make some kind of turn at that time whether it's a high or low. Polarity is difficult to guess in advance. Kimston

#3 swanstkdh

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 06:09 AM

My work still says nat gas is going to 3. I have multiple time squares looking for a turn in NG somewhere around 4/30 to 5/3 area. If it's making lows around 3 in that time-frame I'll buy a load. Regardless, it should make some kind of turn at that time whether it's a high or low. Polarity is difficult to guess in advance.

Kimston


What do you think of the metals stocks? Same down as nat. gas and oil?

#4 Mike

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 10:25 AM

.
A picture is worth a thousand words. 3+ continues to be a logical target to establish a longer held position.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$NATGAS&p=W&st=1994-05-01&i=p82607364126&a=156126985&r=880.png

#5 swanstkdh

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 11:06 AM

Awesome.

#6 Kimston

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 02:16 PM

Yes,
That LT trendline is why I have posted several times over the last few months that I think we're going to 3.

Kimston

.
A picture is worth a thousand words. 3+ continues to be a logical target to establish a longer held position.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$NATGAS&p=W&st=1994-05-01&i=p82607364126&a=156126985&r=880.png



#7 Kimston

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 02:24 PM

My work still says nat gas is going to 3. I have multiple time squares looking for a turn in NG somewhere around 4/30 to 5/3 area. If it's making lows around 3 in that time-frame I'll buy a load. Regardless, it should make some kind of turn at that time whether it's a high or low. Polarity is difficult to guess in advance.

Kimston


What do you think of the metals stocks? Same down as nat. gas and oil?



I'm holding a small core position. I don't try to over correlate with other markets regarding timing. The mining indexes look like they put in 5 wave advance from the Oct 2008 lows, so I'm trying to sort out the corrective pattern to accumulate larger positions. Not a lot of confidence in timing on the metals currently, but I think LT is up.

Re nat gas, in addition to April timing for high/low I also have potential timing for low in Sep 2009.

Kimston

#8 swanstkdh

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Posted 08 April 2009 - 03:24 PM

Ung does not look like it has completed its 2 down yet and is going to the 13 somewhere price before finishing. I am going to get out if it rallies anywhere near 16.50. Then I believe in it. Many of the metal stocks have finished their 2 down and are preparing for 3 up I believe.

#9 inamosa

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Posted 09 April 2009 - 10:41 PM

More:

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$NATGAS&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&i=p19853685192&a=165008583&r=543.png
"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months

#10 Mike

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Posted 10 April 2009 - 05:52 PM

I wonder how many traders are looking at these same charts... Like, everyone? :stupid: This could be good, really good. -MK