

Just About There
#1
Posted 03 February 2014 - 03:40 PM

Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
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#2
Posted 03 February 2014 - 03:47 PM
Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
#3
Posted 03 February 2014 - 03:55 PM
#4
Posted 03 February 2014 - 05:01 PM
My read is tomorrow is the ST bottom near SPX 1733.45. A huge rally should ensue, especially into Friday this week. I have targets as high as 1813/14 general area.
Allow me to chime in here. I also believe we are at a ST low right here. In fact, a 200-300 point rally from today's closing levels would not be out of the question, keep in mind , that'll increase volatility even more, even with a huge rally. Volatility is here to stay after being non existent for so long. To put my $ where my mouth is, Five min. before today's close I purchased a large number (for my trading size) of SPY Feb22, 178 calls. This is a risky, speculative trade and I didn't buy at the exact bottom, I paid 1.07 a piece and they closed at 1.01. Anyway, I am targeting an 80-100% trade this week.
#5
Posted 03 February 2014 - 05:18 PM

"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).
“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”
"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."
#6
Posted 03 February 2014 - 05:59 PM
I'm waiting til Tuesday mid session near SPY 173.30 and will buy this week's 178.00 calls. I see SPY 180.50 by Friday and up into the mid 188.00's by OPEX. Next week looks sideways. There is a bisector low on the full moon next week, and it is 7 TD's from tomorrow, typical low before the next impulse up. Thank goodness we have finally arrived on the ST downside. I hate corrective waves. Time to get the bull going again!!!My read is tomorrow is the ST bottom near SPX 1733.45. A huge rally should ensue, especially into Friday this week. I have targets as high as 1813/14 general area.
Allow me to chime in here. I also believe we are at a ST low right here. In fact, a 200-300 point rally from today's closing levels would not be out of the question, keep in mind , that'll increase volatility even more, even with a huge rally. Volatility is here to stay after being non existent for so long. To put my $ where my mouth is, Five min. before today's close I purchased a large number (for my trading size) of SPY Feb22, 178 calls. This is a risky, speculative trade and I didn't buy at the exact bottom, I paid 1.07 a piece and they closed at 1.01. Anyway, I am targeting an 80-100% trade this week.
#7
Posted 03 February 2014 - 06:17 PM
#8
Posted 03 February 2014 - 07:54 PM
http://stockcharts.c...91475132871.png
#9
Posted 03 February 2014 - 07:57 PM
Mike Burke has seasonality bottoming Thur. or Friday. I think Tuesday is too soon. TICK is only at -334, TRIN is getting up there though. Other than just taking a mean reversion chance, I have no way of knowing this is the bottom or not.
I have several reasons to say that the selling is going to intensify the next two days.
btw in another thread this AM I said gold and silver went on a buy.silver $25.00 GOLD ~1400.
