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commercials got more bullish last week


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#1 gannman

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Posted 15 February 2009 - 07:48 AM

http://www.cftc.gov/...es/deacmesf.htm
feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#2 gorydog

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Posted 15 February 2009 - 10:17 AM

http://www.cftc.gov/...es/deacmesf.htm


Assuming this is an indicator of smart & dumb money positioning, also look at the smart money/dumb money confidence indicator at sentiment trader. This has been very good at calling turns. You can see at least 3 times in the last several years the indicators have been in a similar position (trends and levels considered). It's a subscription site, so I can't post it here unless I ask for permission.


GD

#3 The End

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Posted 15 February 2009 - 11:40 AM

The Commercials are still net short by a bunch.

Small speculators are still 70% to the call side.

http://www.softwaren...t/charts/SP.png

Edited by The End, 15 February 2009 - 11:42 AM.

NONE of what I type should be taken as financial advice.

#4 Will

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Posted 15 February 2009 - 06:35 PM

commercials got more bullish last week

commercials got more bullish last weekhttp://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmesf.htm


LOL. Thats like looking at one weekly up candle in a multi year chart and predicting a bullish move.

COT doesn't give many signals but we have one of the strongest ones right now and it is bearish for the market.