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market history: the eerie 55 calendar day crash cycle


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#1 humble1

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:14 AM

there are many examples of this (+/1 day): the 1929, 9/3-10/29 is well known, as is the 55 day'er in 1987. guess "what" what?: we just had one! 1/7/2009 + 55 calendar days hits 3/3/09. of course, that alone doesn't do it. looks at the daily chart with the capitulation gaps during the final move and see what you think. that's not your standard sell-off, lol. guess what else: we hit the 1987 t/l at the end of that crash cycle, another 55 cd move. this may be crazy stuff to some of you but a heck of a lot of folks watch it.

#2 NAV

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:26 AM

there are many examples of this (+/1 day): the 1929, 9/3-10/29 is well known, as is the 55 day'er in 1987.

guess "what" what?: we just had one!

1/7/2009 + 55 calendar days hits 3/3/09. of course, that alone doesn't do it. looks at the daily chart with the capitulation gaps during the final move and see what you think. that's not your standard sell-off, lol.

guess what else: we hit the 1987 t/l at the end of that crash cycle, another 55 cd move. this may be crazy stuff to some of you but a heck of a lot of folks watch it.


After the 2003 rally begun, a well known professional e-waver (won't use his name) was using the 55 fib days turn dates to call the top and was getting his head handed over to him once every 55 days. It went on for a long time. I have backtested it on tradestation and i did not find any tradeable validity to that number or method.

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#3 humble1

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:31 AM

NAV: how about AFTER a 55 cd decline which has dropped 29% in 55 calender days? that's why i said in my post the 55 cd's alone is not enough. you MUST have the chart pattern to match. 29% is a serious bear market all by itself. but 29% over 55 calendar days is unusual, lol.

#4 Data

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:33 AM

especially since he's using calendar days. if you make one forecast, it's a market call. if you flood one or more forums with the same call, you're a pumper. most pumpers do it with specific stocks. i thought most sites had some restrictions on this kind of activity.

Edited by Data, 04 March 2009 - 09:36 AM.


#5 NAV

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:38 AM

NAV:

how about AFTER a 55 cd decline which has dropped 29% in 55 calender days? that's why i said in my post the 55 cd's alone is not enough.

you MUST have the chart pattern to match. 29% is a serious bear market all by itself. but 29% over 55 calendar days is unusual, lol.


Well it is unusual. We live in unusually crazy times.

Edited by NAV, 04 March 2009 - 09:38 AM.

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#6 humble1

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:40 AM

data: it's not ME using the calendar days; the market used them; see the examples.

#7 mss

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:43 AM

especially since he's using calendar days.

if you make one forecast, it's a market call. if you flood one or more forums with the same call, you're a pumper. most pumpers do it with specific stocks. i thought most sites had some restrictions on this kind of activity.


Do you have proof that anyone is doing that on this board? If you do please report it via the "REPORT" BUTTON on that persons post.
Thanks.
mss
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#8 AChartist

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 09:59 AM

It's an IT call, anything can happen around throwunders and shakeouts
to push and test and stress.

There is a potentially powerful e-wave that may be validated and wont be
apparent until "after" H1 is proven right, too late for the masses.


especially since he's using calendar days.

if you make one forecast, it's a market call. if you flood one or more forums with the same call, you're a pumper. most pumpers do it with specific stocks. i thought most sites had some restrictions on this kind of activity.


"marxism-lennonism-communism always fails and never worked, because I know

some of them, and they don't work"  M.Jordan


#9 selecto

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 10:05 AM

"Do you have proof that anyone is doing that on this board? If you do please report it via the "REPORT" BUTTON on that persons post.
Thanks.
mss"

REPORT:

Da Hums is unabashedly pumping the bull case
whereas OGM is doing the same for the bear.
Lock 'em both up, MSS, lol.

#10 humble1

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Posted 04 March 2009 - 10:40 AM

there is other evidence, too. i am not a qualified observer of the rydex ratio's and transfers, but i mention again reports i hear of capitulation moves at the end of this move, the last few days. maybe someone else knows differently, i don't have the complete data to confirm. (p.s. lol@selecto: i've been found out. yes, i admit i control the markets. wait! they have been going the wrong way .. now my head is spinning.)